Dte Energy Stock Price Prediction
| DTE Stock | USD 110.12 1.55 1.43% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
DTE Energy stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of DTE Energy shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of DTE Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of DTE Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from DTE Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with DTE Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting DTE Energy's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.539 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.98 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.69 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.17 | Wall Street Target Price 117.82 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of DTE Energy based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The DTE stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on DTE Energy over a specific investment horizon. Using DTE Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of DTE Energy from the perspective of DTE Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards DTE Energy using DTE Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards DTE using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of DTE Energy's stock price.
DTE Energy Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in DTE Energy's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards DTE. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of DTE Energy stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long DTE Energy may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about DTE Energy and may potentially protect profits, hedge DTE Energy with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 106.0477 | Short Percent 0.0215 | Short Ratio 2.79 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.8 M | 50 Day MA 108.512 |
DTE Energy Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to DTE Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in DTE. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding DTE can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around DTE Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of DTE Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about DTE Energy.
DTE Energy Implied Volatility | 20.83 |
DTE Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of DTE Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if DTE Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that DTE Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when DTE Energy's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in DTE Energy. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in DTE Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying DTE because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
DTE Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 108.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current DTE contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that DTE Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.3% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With DTE Energy trading at USD 110.12, that is roughly USD 1.43 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating DTE Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring DTE Energy options at the current volatility level of 20.83%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
DTE |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DTE Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DTE Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of DTE Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in DTE Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of DTE Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
DTE Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting DTE Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on DTE Energy's historical news coverage. DTE Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 107.31 and 109.89, respectively. We have considered DTE Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
DTE Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of DTE Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
DTE Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as DTE Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading DTE Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with DTE Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.28 | 0.05 | 0.17 | 11 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
110.12 | 108.60 | 0.03 |
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DTE Energy Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of April DTE Energy is traded for 110.12. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.17. DTE is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 108.6 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on DTE Energy is about 107.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 110.29. The company reported the last year's revenue of 12.74 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.4 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.67 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out DTE Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.DTE Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to DTE Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict DTE Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how DTE Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how DTE Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LNT | Alliant Energy Corp | (0.66) | 11 per month | 1.20 | (0.05) | 2.01 | (2.09) | 5.75 | |
| PNW | Pinnacle West Capital | (0.03) | 11 per month | 1.24 | 0.03 | 2.14 | (2.05) | 6.08 | |
| FE | FirstEnergy | (0.44) | 9 per month | 0.97 | (0.02) | 1.77 | (1.66) | 6.71 | |
| EIX | Edison International | (0.42) | 10 per month | 1.27 | (0.04) | 2.19 | (2.16) | 5.67 | |
| MGEE | MGE Energy | 8.42 | 8 per month | 1.46 | 0.04 | 2.40 | (2.62) | 23.07 | |
| EVRG | Evergy Common Stock | 0.25 | 9 per month | 1.14 | (0.05) | 1.75 | (2.02) | 5.89 |
DTE Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine DTE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DTE using various technical indicators. When you analyze DTE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About DTE Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of DTE Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as DTE Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of DTE Energy based on analysis of DTE Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to DTE Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to DTE Energy's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0341 | 0.0331 | 0.0565 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.55 | 1.78 | 1.87 |
Story Coverage note for DTE Energy
The number of cover stories for DTE Energy depends on current market conditions and DTE Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that DTE Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about DTE Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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DTE Energy Short Properties
DTE Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when DTE Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of DTE Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential DTE Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DTE Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 206 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 26 M |
Check out DTE Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade DTE Stock refer to our How to Trade DTE Stock guide.You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Complementary Tools for DTE Stock analysis
When running DTE Energy's price analysis, check to measure DTE Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DTE Energy is operating at the current time. Most of DTE Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DTE Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DTE Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DTE Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is DTE Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of DTE Energy. If investors know DTE will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about DTE Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.539 | Dividend Share 3.878 | Earnings Share 6.76 | Revenue Per Share 61.869 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.24) |
The market value of DTE Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DTE that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of DTE Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is DTE Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because DTE Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect DTE Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between DTE Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DTE Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DTE Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.