Educational Development Stock Price Prediction

EDUC Stock  USD 2.02  0.01  0.50%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Educational Development's the stock price is about 67 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Educational, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

67

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Educational Development stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Educational Development shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Educational Development's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Educational Development and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Educational Development's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Educational Development, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Educational Development's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.2 K
Wall Street Target Price
5
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.44)
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Educational Development based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Educational stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Educational Development over a specific investment horizon. Using Educational Development hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Educational Development from the perspective of Educational Development response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Educational Development. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Educational Development to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Educational because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Educational Development after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.09  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Educational Development Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Educational Stock refer to our How to Trade Educational Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Educational Development's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.508.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.078.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Educational Development. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Educational Development's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Educational Development's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Educational Development.

Educational Development After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Educational Development at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Educational Development or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Educational Development, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Educational Development Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Educational Development's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Educational Development's historical news coverage. Educational Development's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 8.72, respectively. We have considered Educational Development's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.02
2.09
After-hype Price
8.72
Upside
Educational Development is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Educational Development is based on 3 months time horizon.

Educational Development Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Educational Development is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Educational Development backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Educational Development, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.12 
6.63
  0.07 
  0.06 
10 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.02
2.09
3.47 
11,050  
Notes

Educational Development Hype Timeline

Educational Development is currently traded for 2.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Educational is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.09 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 3.47%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.12%. The volatility of related hype on Educational Development is about 12750.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.08. The company currently holds 45.53 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.03, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Educational Development Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Educational Stock refer to our How to Trade Educational Stock guide.

Educational Development Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Educational Development's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Educational Development's future price movements. Getting to know how Educational Development rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Educational Development may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MMacys Inc(0.83)11 per month 2.26 (0.04) 3.75 (3.19) 16.61 
WWayfair 0.23 10 per month 3.31 (0.02) 8.19 (5.77) 17.32 
DIBS1StdibsCom(0.06)9 per month 2.42  0.1  8.04 (5.14) 17.90 
ANAutoNation(4.05)10 per month 1.80  0.02  3.41 (3.06) 8.21 
BQBoqii Holding Limited(0.08)1 per month 0.00 (0.17) 9.38 (9.09) 28.41 
FLFoot Locker(0.23)9 per month 0.00 (0.04) 6.07 (4.77) 36.40 
HDHome Depot 4.99 8 per month 0.82  0.03  2.02 (1.66) 5.22 
JDJD Inc Adr 0.50 11 per month 3.00 (0.03) 5.33 (4.87) 20.06 
LELands End 0.10 13 per month 2.96 (0.01) 5.38 (4.86) 15.67 
LLLL Flooring Holdings(0.05)7 per month 0.00 (0.37) 6.31 (5.73) 16.26 

Educational Development Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Educational price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Educational using various technical indicators. When you analyze Educational charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Educational Development Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Educational Development stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Educational Development, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Educational Development based on analysis of Educational Development hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Educational Development's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Educational Development's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.05410.02930.0387
Price To Sales Ratio0.450.340.38

Story Coverage note for Educational Development

The number of cover stories for Educational Development depends on current market conditions and Educational Development's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Educational Development is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Educational Development's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Educational Development Short Properties

Educational Development's future price predictability will typically decrease when Educational Development's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Educational Development often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Educational Development's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Educational Development's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments689.1 K
When determining whether Educational Development offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Educational Development's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Educational Development Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Educational Development Stock:
Check out Educational Development Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Educational Stock refer to our How to Trade Educational Stock guide.
You can also try the AI Investment Finder module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Educational Stock analysis

When running Educational Development's price analysis, check to measure Educational Development's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Educational Development is operating at the current time. Most of Educational Development's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Educational Development's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Educational Development's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Educational Development to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Educational Development's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Educational Development. If investors know Educational will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Educational Development listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.2 K
Earnings Share
0.02
Revenue Per Share
6.869
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.44)
Return On Assets
(0.04)
The market value of Educational Development is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Educational that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Educational Development's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Educational Development's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Educational Development's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Educational Development's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Educational Development's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Educational Development is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Educational Development's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.