Ensign (Germany) Price Prediction

EGB Stock  EUR 114.00  1.00  0.88%   
The value of RSI of Ensign's stock price is roughly 60 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 27th of February 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling a stock, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

60

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Ensign Group stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Ensign shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Ensign's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ensign and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ensign's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Ensign Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Ensign based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Ensign stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ensign over a specific investment horizon. Using Ensign hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Ensign Group from the perspective of Ensign response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Ensign. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ensign to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ensign because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ensign after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 114.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Ensign Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ensign's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Ensign in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.5792.08125.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
113.19114.71116.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
110.56112.60114.64
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ensign. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ensign's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ensign's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ensign Group.

Ensign After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ensign at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ensign or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ensign, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ensign Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ensign's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ensign's historical news coverage. Ensign's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 112.48 and 115.52, respectively. We have considered Ensign's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
114.00
112.48
Downside
114.00
After-hype Price
115.52
Upside
Ensign is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ensign Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ensign Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ensign is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ensign backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ensign, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.28 
1.51
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
114.00
114.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Ensign Hype Timeline

Ensign Group is currently traded for 114.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ensign estimated not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of insignificant. The immediate return on the next newsis estimated to be very small whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.28%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Ensign is about 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on Ensign is about 0.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 114.0. About 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Ensign was currently reported as 22.61. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.33. Ensign Group last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2022. The entity had 2:1 split on the 28th of December 2015. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Ensign Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ensign Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ensign's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ensign's future price movements. Getting to know how Ensign rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ensign may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Ensign Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ensign price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ensign using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ensign charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ensign Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ensign stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as The Ensign Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ensign based on analysis of Ensign hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ensign's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ensign's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Ensign

The number of cover stories for Ensign depends on current market conditions and Ensign's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ensign is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ensign's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Ensign Short Properties

Ensign's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ensign's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of The Ensign Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ensign's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ensign's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding55.7 M
When determining whether Ensign Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ensign's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ensign's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ensign Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Ensign Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

Complementary Tools for Ensign Stock analysis

When running Ensign's price analysis, check to measure Ensign's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ensign is operating at the current time. Most of Ensign's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ensign's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ensign's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ensign to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Ensign's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ensign is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ensign's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.