Ehang Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| EH Stock | USD 17.48 0.13 0.75% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Ehang Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Ehang Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Ehang Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ehang Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ehang Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ehang Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ehang Holdings' stock price prediction:EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.05) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.22) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.26 | Wall Street Target Price 23.28 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.09) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Ehang Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Ehang stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ehang Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Using Ehang Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ehang Holdings from the perspective of Ehang Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ehang Holdings using Ehang Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ehang using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ehang Holdings' stock price.
Ehang Holdings Implied Volatility | 78.49 |
Ehang Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ehang Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ehang Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ehang Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ehang Holdings' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Ehang Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ehang Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ehang because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ehang Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 18.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ehang contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Ehang Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 4.91% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Ehang Holdings trading at USD 17.48, that is roughly USD 0.86 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ehang Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Ehang Holdings options at the current volatility level of 78.49%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Ehang |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ehang Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ehang Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ehang Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ehang Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ehang Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ehang Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ehang Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ehang Holdings' historical news coverage. Ehang Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.56 and 24.44, respectively. We have considered Ehang Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ehang Holdings is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ehang Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ehang Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ehang Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ehang Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ehang Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.76 | 5.98 | 1.01 | 0.08 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.48 | 18.50 | 5.84 |
|
Ehang Holdings Hype Timeline
As of April 25, 2024 Ehang Holdings is listed for 17.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Ehang is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 18.5 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 5.84%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.76%. The volatility of related hype on Ehang Holdings is about 6047.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.40. Ehang Holdings reports about 240.68 M in cash with (88.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.21. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Ehang Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ehang Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ehang Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ehang Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Ehang Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ehang Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PL | Planet Labs PBC | (0.06) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.98 | (5.12) | 19.82 | |
| EVEX | Eve Holding | (0.22) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.93 | (5.16) | 14.67 | |
| RDW | Redwire Corp | 0.17 | 8 per month | 2.98 | 0.10 | 5.93 | (5.13) | 17.28 | |
| LMT | Lockheed Martin | (0.40) | 8 per month | 1.03 | (0.08) | 1.28 | (1.18) | 4.38 | |
| RTX | Raytheon Technologies Corp | 0.59 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.18 | 1.63 | (0.86) | 6.91 | |
| NOC | Northrop Grumman | (0.87) | 7 per month | 1.47 | (0.06) | 1.34 | (1.33) | 6.61 | |
| GD | General Dynamics | (0.16) | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1.47 | (0.82) | 6.20 | |
| RKLB | Rocket Lab USA | 0.07 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.67 | (5.15) | 22.44 | |
| MNTS | Momentus | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 18.33 | (14.00) | 65.40 |
Ehang Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ehang price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ehang using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ehang charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ehang Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ehang Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ehang Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ehang Holdings based on analysis of Ehang Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ehang Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ehang Holdings's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 0.46 | 0.43 | 1.2 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 1.4K | 1.7K | 515.57 |
Story Coverage note for Ehang Holdings
The number of cover stories for Ehang Holdings depends on current market conditions and Ehang Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ehang Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ehang Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
Ehang Holdings Short Properties
Ehang Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Ehang Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ehang Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ehang Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ehang Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 285.7 M |
Check out Ehang Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Ehang Stock please use our How to Invest in Ehang Holdings guide.Note that the Ehang Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ehang Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Ehang Stock analysis
When running Ehang Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Ehang Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ehang Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Ehang Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ehang Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ehang Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ehang Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| Balance Of Power Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios | |
| Portfolio Analyzer Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine | |
| Equity Search Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets | |
| Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes | |
| Options Analysis Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios | |
| Sync Your Broker Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors. | |
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| Money Managers Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world |
Is Ehang Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ehang Holdings. If investors know Ehang will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ehang Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.69) | Revenue Per Share 1.933 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.609 | Return On Assets (0.33) | Return On Equity (1.44) |
The market value of Ehang Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ehang that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ehang Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ehang Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ehang Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ehang Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ehang Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ehang Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ehang Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.