Essential Properties Realty Stock Price Prediction
EPRT Stock | USD 26.28 0.52 2.02% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
65
Oversold | Overbought |
Essential Properties stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Essential Properties shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Essential Properties' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Essential Properties and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Essential Properties' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Essential Properties Realty, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Essential Properties' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.25 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.26 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.13 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.19 | Wall Street Target Price 28.1 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Essential Properties based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Essential stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Essential Properties over a specific investment horizon. Using Essential Properties hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Essential Properties Realty from the perspective of Essential Properties response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Essential Properties using Essential Properties' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Essential using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Essential Properties' stock price.
Essential Properties Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Essential Properties' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Essential. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Essential Properties stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Essential Properties may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Essential Properties and may potentially protect profits, hedge Essential Properties with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 24.1446 | Short Percent 0.0696 | Short Ratio 3.87 | Shares Short Prior Month 7 M | 50 Day MA 25.1454 |
Essential Properties Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Essential Properties' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Essential. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Essential can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Essential Properties Realty. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Essential Properties' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Essential Properties.
Essential Properties Implied Volatility | 26.25 |
Essential Properties' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Essential Properties Realty stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Essential Properties' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Essential Properties stock will not fluctuate a lot when Essential Properties' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Essential Properties. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Essential Properties to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Essential because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Essential Properties after-hype prediction price | USD 26.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Essential |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Essential Properties' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Essential Properties After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Essential Properties at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Essential Properties or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Essential Properties, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Essential Properties Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Essential Properties' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Essential Properties' historical news coverage. Essential Properties' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.98 and 27.58, respectively. We have considered Essential Properties' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Essential Properties is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Essential Properties is based on 3 months time horizon.
Essential Properties Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Essential Properties is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Essential Properties backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Essential Properties, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.30 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
26.28 | 26.28 | 0.00 |
|
Essential Properties Hype Timeline
Essential Properties is currently traded for 26.28. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Essential is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Essential Properties is about 2166.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.27. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.45. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Essential Properties has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.88. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of March 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Essential Properties Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Essential Properties Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Essential Properties' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Essential Properties' future price movements. Getting to know how Essential Properties' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Essential Properties may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
SRC | Spirit Realty Capital | 1.06 | 8 per month | 0.93 | 0.15 | 3.17 | (2.02) | 8.33 | |
AHH | Armada Hflr Pr | (0.07) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.26 | (2.94) | 8.46 | |
CTO | CTO Realty Growth | 0.16 | 14 per month | 1.03 | (0.01) | 1.56 | (1.58) | 5.58 | |
BRSP | Brightspire Capital | (0.28) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.46 | (4.21) | 9.32 | |
BNL | Broadstone Net LeaseInc | (0.30) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.38 | (2.65) | 8.06 | |
SAFE | Safehold | (0.94) | 11 per month | 2.34 | (0.03) | 4.20 | (3.13) | 13.98 | |
AHH-PA | Armada Hoffler Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.56 | (1.81) | 4.94 | |
OLP | One Liberty Properties | 0.16 | 7 per month | 1.45 | 0.04 | 2.12 | (2.46) | 8.20 | |
MDV | Modiv Inc | (0.33) | 9 per month | 2.35 | (0) | 3.47 | (3.81) | 12.60 |
Essential Properties Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Essential price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Essential using various technical indicators. When you analyze Essential charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Essential Properties Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Essential Properties stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Essential Properties Realty, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Essential Properties based on analysis of Essential Properties hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Essential Properties's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Essential Properties's related companies. 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0335 | 0.0447 | 0.0433 | 0.0644 | Price To Sales Ratio | 14.57 | 11.05 | 10.81 | 8.75 |
Story Coverage note for Essential Properties
The number of cover stories for Essential Properties depends on current market conditions and Essential Properties' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Essential Properties is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Essential Properties' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
Essential Properties Short Properties
Essential Properties' future price predictability will typically decrease when Essential Properties' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Essential Properties Realty often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Essential Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Essential Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 153.5 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 39.8 M |
Check out Essential Properties Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Essential Stock analysis
When running Essential Properties' price analysis, check to measure Essential Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Essential Properties is operating at the current time. Most of Essential Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Essential Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Essential Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Essential Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
AI Portfolio Architect Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities | |
Stocks Directory Find actively traded stocks across global markets | |
Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account | |
Idea Optimizer Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio | |
Technical Analysis Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data | |
Analyst Advice Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories | |
Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk | |
Piotroski F Score Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals | |
Top Crypto Exchanges Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges | |
Portfolio Anywhere Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings |
Is Essential Properties' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Essential Properties. If investors know Essential will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Essential Properties listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.25 | Dividend Share 1.12 | Earnings Share 1.24 | Revenue Per Share 2.364 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.316 |
The market value of Essential Properties is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Essential that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Essential Properties' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Essential Properties' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Essential Properties' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Essential Properties' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Essential Properties' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Essential Properties is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Essential Properties' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.