Energy Stock Future Price Prediction

ET -  USA Stock  

USD 9.10  0.04  0.44%

Energy Transfer LP stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Energy Transfer shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Energy Transfer's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Energy Transfer and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Energy Transfer's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Energy Transfer LP, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Energy Transfer Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Energy Transfer based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Energy stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Energy Transfer over a specific investment horizon. Using Energy Transfer hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Energy Transfer LP from the perspective of Energy Transfer response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Energy Transfer Price to Sales Ratio is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Energy Transfer reported Price to Sales Ratio of 0.43 in 2020. Return on Invested Capital is likely to gain to 0.0202 in 2021, whereas Earnings per Diluted Share are likely to drop (0.25)  in 2021.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Energy Transfer. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Energy Transfer to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Energy because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Energy Transfer after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 9.07  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Energy Transfer's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Energy Transfer in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
8.1911.2613.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.098.9010.71
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
10.0013.0015.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (5)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.911.721.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Energy Transfer. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Energy Transfer's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Energy Transfer's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Energy Transfer LP.

Energy Transfer After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Energy Transfer at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Energy Transfer or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Energy Transfer, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Energy Transfer Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Energy Transfer's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Energy Transfer's historical news coverage. Energy Transfer's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.26 and 10.88, respectively. We have considered Energy Transfer's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
9.10
20th of September 2021
9.07
After-hype Price
10.88
Upside
Energy Transfer is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Energy Transfer LP is based on 3 months time horizon.

Energy Transfer Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Energy Transfer is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Energy Transfer backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Energy Transfer, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.28  1.81  0.03   0.01  7 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.109.070.33 
1,508  

Energy Transfer Hype Timeline

As of September 20, 2021 Energy Transfer LP is listed for 9.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Energy is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 9.07. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price decline on the next newsis expected to be -0.33% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Energy Transfer is about 6787.5% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 9.09. About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.17. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Energy Transfer LP next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 5th of August 2021. The entity had a split on the 27th of July 2015. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipatedpress releasewill be in about 7 days.
Continue to Energy Transfer Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Energy Transfer Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Energy Transfer's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Energy Transfer's future price movements. Getting to know how Energy Transfer rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Energy Transfer may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Energy Transfer Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Energy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Energy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Energy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Energy Transfer Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Energy Transfer stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Energy Transfer LP, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Energy Transfer based on analysis of Energy Transfer hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Energy Transfer's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Energy Transfer's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Enterprise Value over EBITDA8.8412.312.0
Enterprise Value over EBIT13.036.034.16

Story Coverage note for Energy Transfer

The number of cover stories for Energy Transfer depends on current market conditions and Energy Transfer's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Energy Transfer is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Energy Transfer's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Energy Transfer Short Properties

Energy Transfer's future price predictability will typically decrease when Energy Transfer's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Energy Transfer LP often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Energy Transfer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Energy Transfer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.34%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.76
Short Percent Of Float2.73%
Float Shares2.32B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day9.7M
Shares Short Prior Month72.37M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month12.39M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield8.16%
Continue to Energy Transfer Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Energy Transfer LP information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Energy Transfer's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Search module to search for activelly traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

Complementary Tools for Energy Stock analysis

When running Energy Transfer LP price analysis, check to measure Energy Transfer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Energy Transfer is operating at the current time. Most of Energy Transfer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Energy Transfer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Energy Transfer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Energy Transfer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Energy Transfer LP is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Energy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Energy Transfer's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Energy Transfer's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Energy Transfer's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Energy Transfer LP underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Energy Transfer's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Energy Transfer value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Energy Transfer's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.