Fathom Digital Manufacturing Stock Price Prediction

FATH Stock  USD 4.31  0.09  2.05%   
As of 25th of February 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Fathom Digital's share price is approaching 40. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fathom Digital's stock, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

40

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Fathom Digital Manuf stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Fathom Digital shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Fathom Digital's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fathom Digital and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fathom Digital's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fathom Digital Manufacturing, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Fathom Digital's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.89)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(6.00)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(6.35)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(8.38)
Wall Street Target Price
5
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Fathom Digital based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Fathom stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Fathom Digital over a specific investment horizon. Using Fathom Digital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fathom Digital Manufacturing from the perspective of Fathom Digital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fathom Digital using Fathom Digital's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fathom using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fathom Digital's stock price.

Fathom Digital Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Fathom Digital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fathom Digital Manufacturing stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fathom Digital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fathom Digital stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fathom Digital's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Fathom Digital. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fathom Digital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fathom because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Fathom Digital after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Fathom Digital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fathom Digital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Fathom Digital in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.186.9410.70
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.6515.0016.65
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-1.59-1.59-1.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fathom Digital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fathom Digital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fathom Digital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fathom Digital Manuf.

Fathom Digital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Fathom Digital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fathom Digital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fathom Digital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Fathom Digital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Fathom Digital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fathom Digital's historical news coverage. Fathom Digital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.55 and 8.07, respectively. We have considered Fathom Digital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.31
4.31
After-hype Price
8.07
Upside
Fathom Digital is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fathom Digital Manuf is based on 3 months time horizon.

Fathom Digital Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fathom Digital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fathom Digital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fathom Digital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
3.73
 0.00  
  0.05 
2 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.31
4.31
0.00 
4,662  
Notes

Fathom Digital Hype Timeline

Fathom Digital Manuf is currently traded for 4.31. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.05. Fathom anticipated not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis anticipated to be very small whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Fathom Digital is about 136.01%. The volatility of related hype on Fathom Digital is about 136.01% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 4.36. About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.28. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fathom Digital Manuf has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.43. The entity recorded a loss per share of 17.56. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Fathom Digital had 1:20 split on the 29th of September 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Fathom Digital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Fathom Digital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Fathom Digital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fathom Digital's future price movements. Getting to know how Fathom Digital rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fathom Digital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Fathom Digital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fathom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fathom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fathom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Fathom Digital Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Fathom Digital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fathom Digital Manufacturing, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fathom Digital based on analysis of Fathom Digital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fathom Digital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fathom Digital's related companies.
 2021 2023 2024 (projected)
Book Value per Share17.9216.1316.55
Asset Turnover0.160.140.15

Story Coverage note for Fathom Digital

The number of cover stories for Fathom Digital depends on current market conditions and Fathom Digital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fathom Digital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fathom Digital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Fathom Digital Short Properties

Fathom Digital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fathom Digital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fathom Digital Manufacturing often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fathom Digital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fathom Digital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments10.7 M
When determining whether Fathom Digital Manuf offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Fathom Digital's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Fathom Digital Manufacturing Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Fathom Digital Manufacturing Stock:
Check out Fathom Digital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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When running Fathom Digital's price analysis, check to measure Fathom Digital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fathom Digital is operating at the current time. Most of Fathom Digital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fathom Digital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fathom Digital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fathom Digital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Fathom Digital's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fathom Digital. If investors know Fathom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fathom Digital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.89)
Earnings Share
(17.56)
Revenue Per Share
40.998
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.22)
Return On Assets
(0.02)
The market value of Fathom Digital Manuf is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fathom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fathom Digital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fathom Digital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fathom Digital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fathom Digital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fathom Digital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fathom Digital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fathom Digital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.