First Citizens Bancshares Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 1,397 1,700 1,702 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 1,515 1,516 1,518 Details

12 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 1,541 1,693 1,880 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 37.21 43.50 46.50 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Citizens. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Citizens' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Citizens' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Citizens BancShares.

First Citizens After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

First Citizens Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

First Citizens Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.14	1.60	0.77	0.01	11 Events / Month	2 Events / Month	In about 11 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
1,552	1,553	0.05	28.93   Notes

First Citizens Hype Timeline

First Citizens BancShares is currently traded for 1,552. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.77, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. First is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1552.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 28.93%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on First Citizens is about 2580.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,552. The company reported the revenue of 11.59 B. Net Income was 11.47 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out First Citizens Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

First Citizens Related Hype Analysis

First Citizens Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The number of cover stories for First Citizens depends on current market conditions and First Citizens' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Citizens is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Citizens' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

First Citizens' future price predictability will typically decrease when First Citizens' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Citizens BancShares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Citizens' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Citizens' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Check out First Citizens Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the First Citizens BancShares information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other First Citizens' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

When running First Citizens' price analysis, check to measure First Citizens' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Citizens is operating at the current time. Most of First Citizens' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Citizens' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Citizens' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Citizens to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

Is First Citizens' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Citizens. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Citizens listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

The market value of First Citizens BancShares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Citizens' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Citizens' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Citizens' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Citizens' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between First Citizens' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Citizens is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Citizens' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.