Freeport Mcmoran Copper Gold Stock Price Prediction
| FCX Stock | USD 49.61 0.55 1.10% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
75
Oversold | Overbought |
Freeport McMoran Copper stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Freeport McMoran shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Freeport McMoran's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Freeport McMoran and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Freeport McMoran's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Freeport McMoran Copper Gold, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Freeport McMoran's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.45) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.38 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.45 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.93 | Wall Street Target Price 47.74 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Freeport McMoran based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Freeport stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Freeport McMoran over a specific investment horizon. Using Freeport McMoran hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Freeport McMoran Copper Gold from the perspective of Freeport McMoran response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Freeport McMoran using Freeport McMoran's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Freeport using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Freeport McMoran's stock price.
Freeport McMoran Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Freeport McMoran's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Freeport. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Freeport McMoran stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Freeport McMoran may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Freeport McMoran and may potentially protect profits, hedge Freeport McMoran with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 39.9131 | Short Percent 0.0127 | Short Ratio 1.26 | Shares Short Prior Month 15.2 M | 50 Day MA 43.1518 |
Freeport McMoran Copper Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Freeport McMoran's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Freeport. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Freeport can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Freeport McMoran Copper Gold. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Freeport McMoran's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Freeport McMoran.
Freeport McMoran Implied Volatility | 44.4 |
Freeport McMoran's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Freeport McMoran Copper Gold stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Freeport McMoran's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Freeport McMoran stock will not fluctuate a lot when Freeport McMoran's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Freeport McMoran. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Freeport McMoran to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Freeport because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Freeport McMoran after-hype prediction price | USD 50.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Freeport contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Freeport McMoran Copper Gold will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.77% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Freeport McMoran trading at USD 49.61, that is roughly USD 1.38 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Freeport McMoran's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Freeport McMoran Copper Gold options at the current volatility level of 44.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Freeport |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Freeport McMoran's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Freeport McMoran After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Freeport McMoran at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Freeport McMoran or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Freeport McMoran, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Freeport McMoran Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Freeport McMoran's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Freeport McMoran's historical news coverage. Freeport McMoran's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 48.48 and 52.62, respectively. We have considered Freeport McMoran's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Freeport McMoran is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Freeport McMoran Copper is based on 3 months time horizon.
Freeport McMoran Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Freeport McMoran is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Freeport McMoran backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Freeport McMoran, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.47 | 2.08 | 0.37 | 0.06 | 10 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
49.61 | 50.55 | 0.78 |
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Freeport McMoran Hype Timeline
On the 19th of April Freeport McMoran Copper is traded for 49.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.37, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Freeport is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 50.55 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.78%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.47%. The volatility of related hype on Freeport McMoran is about 1612.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 49.67. The company reported the last year's revenue of 22.71 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.84 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 9.71 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Freeport McMoran Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Freeport McMoran Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Freeport McMoran's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Freeport McMoran's future price movements. Getting to know how Freeport McMoran's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Freeport McMoran may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ERO | Ero Copper Corp | (0.02) | 9 per month | 2.78 | 0.12 | 4.93 | (5.37) | 14.32 | |
| ARREF | Amerigo Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.71 | 0.13 | 4.20 | (3.15) | 10.35 | |
| HBM | Hudbay Minerals | (0.11) | 10 per month | 1.27 | 0.23 | 4.87 | (2.50) | 10.33 | |
| LUNMF | Lundin Mining | (0.11) | 10 per month | 2.57 | 0.14 | 4.63 | (3.90) | 16.96 | |
| SCCO | Southern Copper | 1.53 | 11 per month | 1.18 | 0.24 | 3.74 | (2.50) | 12.79 | |
| CPPMF | Copper Mountain Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 21.08 | 0.18 | 100.00 | (42.86) | 1,188 | |
| CSCCF | Capstone Copper Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.96 | 0.21 | 5.86 | (4.39) | 12.37 | |
| FQVLF | First Quantum Minerals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.98 | 0.06 | 6.50 | (5.16) | 17.46 | |
| NEVDF | Nevada Copper Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.48 | 0.02 | 14.29 | (12.50) | 64.29 | |
| CPPKF | Copperbank Resources Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.76 | 0.12 | 11.11 | (5.00) | 18.43 |
Freeport McMoran Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Freeport price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Freeport using various technical indicators. When you analyze Freeport charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Freeport McMoran Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Freeport McMoran stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Freeport McMoran Copper Gold, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Freeport McMoran based on analysis of Freeport McMoran hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Freeport McMoran's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Freeport McMoran's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.005411 | 0.0158 | 0.0141 | 0.0134 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.68 | 2.4 | 2.69 | 4.21 |
Story Coverage note for Freeport McMoran
The number of cover stories for Freeport McMoran depends on current market conditions and Freeport McMoran's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Freeport McMoran is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Freeport McMoran's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Freeport McMoran Short Properties
Freeport McMoran's future price predictability will typically decrease when Freeport McMoran's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Freeport McMoran Copper Gold often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Freeport McMoran's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Freeport McMoran's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6 B |
Check out Freeport McMoran Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Freeport McMoran Copper information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Freeport McMoran's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Complementary Tools for Freeport Stock analysis
When running Freeport McMoran's price analysis, check to measure Freeport McMoran's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Freeport McMoran is operating at the current time. Most of Freeport McMoran's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Freeport McMoran's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Freeport McMoran's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Freeport McMoran to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Freeport McMoran's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Freeport McMoran. If investors know Freeport will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Freeport McMoran listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.45) | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 1.28 | Revenue Per Share 15.938 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.026 |
The market value of Freeport McMoran Copper is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Freeport that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Freeport McMoran's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Freeport McMoran's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Freeport McMoran's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Freeport McMoran's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Freeport McMoran's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Freeport McMoran is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Freeport McMoran's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.