American Funds The Fund Price Prediction

FFAFX Fund  USD 72.99  0.01  0.01%   
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of American Funds' share price is at 50. This usually indicates that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling American Funds, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

50

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of American Funds' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Funds The, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using American Funds hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Funds The from the perspective of American Funds response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in American Funds to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying American because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

American Funds after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 73.08  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out American Funds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Funds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.6065.4480.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
73.0873.9374.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
69.9471.4272.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Funds. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Funds' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Funds' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American Funds.

American Funds After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of American Funds at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Funds or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of American Funds, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

American Funds Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting American Funds' mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Funds' historical news coverage. American Funds' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 72.24 and 73.92, respectively. We have considered American Funds' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
72.99
73.08
After-hype Price
73.92
Upside
American Funds is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Funds is based on 3 months time horizon.

American Funds Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as American Funds is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Funds backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Funds, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
0.84
  0.09 
  0.03 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
72.99
73.08
0.12 
84.85  
Notes

American Funds Hype Timeline

American Funds is currently traded for 72.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. American is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 73.08 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 84.85%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on American Funds is about 286.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 72.96. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out American Funds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Funds Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to American Funds' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Funds' future price movements. Getting to know how American Funds' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Funds may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PAFDXT Rowe Price 0.00 0 per month 0.65  0.04  0.85 (1.28) 3.20 
SCRYYSCOR PK 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 4.44 (6.08) 16.06 
MSTSXMorningstar Unconstrained Allocation 0.07 3 per month 0.73  0.04  0.92 (1.29) 3.08 
VIASPVia Renewables 0.00 0 per month 1.78  0.15  3.96 (2.61) 13.41 
KNFKnife River(2.24)11 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.47 (2.91) 8.13 
70082LAB3US70082LAB36 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 1.55 (1.45) 29.63 
FPCGFirst Physicians Capital 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
JMCVXPerkins Mid Cap 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 0.99 (1.19) 3.23 
KMXCarMax Inc(0.47)13 per month 0.00 (0.1) 2.76 (3.08) 13.28 

American Funds Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About American Funds Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of American Funds stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American Funds The, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Funds based on analysis of American Funds hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to American Funds's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to American Funds's related companies.

Story Coverage note for American Funds

The number of cover stories for American Funds depends on current market conditions and American Funds' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Funds is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Funds' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in American Mutual Fund

American Funds financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Funds security.
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