First Financial Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| FFBC Stock | USD 22.55 0.05 0.22% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
41
Oversold | Overbought |
First Financial Bancorp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of First Financial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of First Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of First Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from First Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Financial Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting First Financial's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.56 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.31 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.28 | Wall Street Target Price 25.3 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of First Financial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The First stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on First Financial over a specific investment horizon. Using First Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Financial Bancorp from the perspective of First Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards First Financial using First Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards First using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of First Financial's stock price.
First Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in First Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards First. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of First Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long First Financial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about First Financial and may potentially protect profits, hedge First Financial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 21.4868 | Short Percent 0.0185 | Short Ratio 3.78 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.4 M | 50 Day MA 21.7344 |
First Financial Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to First Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in First. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding First can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around First Financial Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of First Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about First Financial.
First Financial Implied Volatility | 21.69 |
First Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of First Financial Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if First Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that First Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when First Financial's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in First Financial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
First Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 22.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
First |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of First Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
First Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting First Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Financial's historical news coverage. First Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.72 and 24.38, respectively. We have considered First Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
First Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Financial Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
First Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
22.55 | 22.55 | 0.00 |
|
First Financial Hype Timeline
First Financial Bancorp is currently traded for 22.55. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. First is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Financial is about 68625.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.55. About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.89. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Financial Bancorp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.71. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of February 2024. The firm had 105:100 split on the 7th of March 2001. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out First Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.First Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to First Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how First Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
First Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About First Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of First Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Financial Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Financial based on analysis of First Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Financial's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0377 | 0.0382 | 0.0391 | 0.0294 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.72 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 3.97 |
Story Coverage note for First Financial
The number of cover stories for First Financial depends on current market conditions and First Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
First Financial Short Properties
First Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when First Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Financial Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 95.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -213.1 M |
Check out First Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade First Stock refer to our How to Trade First Stock guide.Note that the First Financial Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other First Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis
When running First Financial's price analysis, check to measure First Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Financial is operating at the current time. Most of First Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format | |
| Risk-Return Analysis View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume | |
| USA ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA | |
| Stocks Directory Find actively traded stocks across global markets | |
| Theme Ratings Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance |
Is First Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Financial. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | Dividend Share 0.92 | Earnings Share 2.69 | Revenue Per Share 8.481 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
The market value of First Financial Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.