Floor Decor Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| FND Stock | USD 110.31 2.12 1.89% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Floor Decor Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Floor Decor shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Floor Decor's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Floor Decor and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Floor Decor's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Floor Decor Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Floor Decor's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.51 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.91 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.68 | Wall Street Target Price 113.76 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Floor Decor based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Floor stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Floor Decor over a specific investment horizon. Using Floor Decor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Floor Decor Holdings from the perspective of Floor Decor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Floor Decor using Floor Decor's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Floor using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Floor Decor's stock price.
Floor Decor Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Floor Decor's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Floor. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Floor Decor stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Floor Decor may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Floor Decor and may potentially protect profits, hedge Floor Decor with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 103.2284 | Short Percent 0.1988 | Short Ratio 10.8 | Shares Short Prior Month 16.4 M | 50 Day MA 118.0224 |
Floor Decor Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Floor Decor's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Floor. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Floor can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Floor Decor Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Floor Decor's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Floor Decor.
Floor Decor Implied Volatility | 47.62 |
Floor Decor's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Floor Decor Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Floor Decor's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Floor Decor stock will not fluctuate a lot when Floor Decor's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Floor Decor. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Floor Decor to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Floor because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Floor Decor after-hype prediction price | USD 109.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Floor contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Floor Decor Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.98% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Floor Decor trading at USD 110.31, that is roughly USD 3.28 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Floor Decor's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Floor Decor Holdings options at the current volatility level of 47.62%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Floor |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Floor Decor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Floor Decor After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Floor Decor at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Floor Decor or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Floor Decor, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Floor Decor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Floor Decor's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Floor Decor's historical news coverage. Floor Decor's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 107.43 and 112.53, respectively. We have considered Floor Decor's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Floor Decor is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Floor Decor Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Floor Decor Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Floor Decor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Floor Decor backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Floor Decor, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 2.57 | 0.33 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
110.31 | 109.98 | 0.30 |
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Floor Decor Hype Timeline
On the 16th of April 2024 Floor Decor Holdings is traded for 110.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.33, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Floor is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 109.98. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 110.3%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.3%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Floor Decor is about 1150.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 110.28. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.2. Floor Decor Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Floor Decor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Floor Decor Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Floor Decor's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Floor Decor's future price movements. Getting to know how Floor Decor's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Floor Decor may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ARHS | Arhaus Inc | (0.32) | 8 per month | 2.08 | 0.18 | 5.77 | (3.92) | 17.92 | |
| KIRK | Kirklands | (0.33) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.30 | (5.21) | 28.51 | |
| LIVE | Live Ventures | (0.02) | 4 per month | 2.19 | (0.02) | 5.22 | (4.03) | 13.70 |
Floor Decor Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Floor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Floor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Floor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Floor Decor Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Floor Decor stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Floor Decor Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Floor Decor based on analysis of Floor Decor hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Floor Decor's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Floor Decor's related companies. | 2016 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0761 | 0.0919 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.81 | 4.87 |
Story Coverage note for Floor Decor
The number of cover stories for Floor Decor depends on current market conditions and Floor Decor's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Floor Decor is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Floor Decor's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Floor Decor Short Properties
Floor Decor's future price predictability will typically decrease when Floor Decor's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Floor Decor Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Floor Decor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Floor Decor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 34.4 M |
Check out Floor Decor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Complementary Tools for Floor Stock analysis
When running Floor Decor's price analysis, check to measure Floor Decor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Floor Decor is operating at the current time. Most of Floor Decor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Floor Decor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Floor Decor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Floor Decor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Floor Decor's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Floor Decor. If investors know Floor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Floor Decor listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | Earnings Share 2.28 | Revenue Per Share 41.537 | Return On Assets 0.0451 | Return On Equity 0.1371 |
The market value of Floor Decor Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Floor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Floor Decor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Floor Decor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Floor Decor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Floor Decor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Floor Decor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Floor Decor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Floor Decor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.