Fortress Stock Future Price Prediction

FTAI -  USA Stock  

USD 28.59  0.39  1.35%

Fortress Transn Infras stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Fortress Transn shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Fortress Transn's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fortress Transn and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fortress Transn's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fortress Transn Infras, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Fortress Transn Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Search Price Prediction 

 
Refresh
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Fortress Transn based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Fortress stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Fortress Transn over a specific investment horizon. Using Fortress Transn hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fortress Transn Infras from the perspective of Fortress Transn response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Fortress Transn Dividend Yield is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Dividend Yield was reported at 0.06. The current EBITDA Margin is estimated to increase to 0.55, while Debt to Equity Ratio is projected to decrease to 1.73.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Fortress Transn. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fortress Transn to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fortress because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Fortress Transn after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 28.68  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fortress Transn's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Fortress Transn in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
23.8128.0532.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
27.5531.7936.03
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
25.0034.8950.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.380.100.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fortress Transn. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fortress Transn's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fortress Transn's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Fortress Transn Infras.

Fortress Transn After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Fortress Transn at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fortress Transn or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Fortress Transn, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Fortress Transn Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Fortress Transn's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fortress Transn's historical news coverage. Fortress Transn's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.44 and 32.92, respectively. We have considered Fortress Transn's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
28.59
1st of August 2021
28.68
After-hype Price
32.92
Upside
Fortress Transn is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fortress Transn Infras is based on 3 months time horizon.

Fortress Transn Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Fortress Transn is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fortress Transn backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fortress Transn, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.08  2.03  0.03   0.11  11 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
28.5928.680.31 
534.21  

Fortress Transn Hype Timeline

Fortress Transn Infras is currently traded for 28.59. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. Fortress is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 28.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.31% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Fortress Transn is about 143.39% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 28.7. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 330.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (136.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 256.98 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 11 days.
Please check Fortress Transn Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Fortress Transn Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Fortress Transn's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fortress Transn's future price movements. Getting to know how Fortress Transn rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fortress Transn may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Fortress Transn Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fortress price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fortress using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fortress charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Fortress Transn Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Fortress Transn stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fortress Transn Infras, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fortress Transn based on analysis of Fortress Transn hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fortress Transn's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fortress Transn's related companies.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Book Value per Share11.9215.1412.5213.71
Asset Turnover0.150.190.110.12

Story Coverage note for Fortress Transn

The number of cover stories for Fortress Transn depends on current market conditions and Fortress Transn's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fortress Transn is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fortress Transn's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Fortress Transn Short Properties

Fortress Transn's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fortress Transn's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fortress Transn Infras often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fortress Transn's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fortress Transn's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out5.11%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.32
Short Percent Of Float6.06%
Float Shares84.72M
Shares Short Prior Month4.43M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day594.65k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month449.53k
Date Short Interest15th of June 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield4.50%
Please check Fortress Transn Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Fortress Transn Infras information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Fortress Transn's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.

Complementary Tools for Fortress Stock analysis

When running Fortress Transn Infras price analysis, check to measure Fortress Transn's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fortress Transn is operating at the current time. Most of Fortress Transn's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fortress Transn's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fortress Transn's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fortress Transn to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Analyst Recommendations
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Go
Focused Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Go
CEO Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Go
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Go
Equity Search
Search for activelly traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Go
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Go
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Go
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Go
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Go
Bond Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Go
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Go
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm
Go
Shere Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Go
The market value of Fortress Transn Infras is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fortress that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fortress Transn's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fortress Transn's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fortress Transn's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fortress Transn Infras underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fortress Transn's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Fortress Transn value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fortress Transn's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.