Cedar Stock Future Price Prediction

FUN -  USA Stock  

USD 48.00  0.33  0.69%

Cedar Fair LP stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Cedar Fair shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Cedar Fair's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Cedar Fair and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Cedar Fair's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cedar Fair LP, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Cedar Fair Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Cedar Price Prediction 

 
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Cedar Fair based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Cedar stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Cedar Fair over a specific investment horizon. Using Cedar Fair hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cedar Fair LP from the perspective of Cedar Fair response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Cedar Fair Sales per Share is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Sales per Share is estimated at 3.30
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Cedar Fair. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cedar Fair to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cedar because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Cedar Fair after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 47.92  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cedar Fair's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Cedar Fair in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
43.2054.1956.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
46.6048.6150.62
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
54.0060.2075.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (5)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-2.26-1.250.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cedar Fair. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cedar Fair's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cedar Fair's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Cedar Fair LP.

Cedar Fair After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cedar Fair at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cedar Fair or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Cedar Fair, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Cedar Fair Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cedar Fair's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cedar Fair's historical news coverage. Cedar Fair's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 45.91 and 49.93, respectively. We have considered Cedar Fair's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
48.00
24th of October 2021
47.92
After-hype Price
49.93
Upside
Cedar Fair is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cedar Fair LP is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cedar Fair Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Cedar Fair is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cedar Fair backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cedar Fair, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.22  2.01  0.08   0.04  8 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
48.0047.920.17 
574.29  

Cedar Fair Hype Timeline

On the 24th of October Cedar Fair LP is traded for 48.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Cedar is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 47.92. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.17% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Cedar Fair is about 1024.2% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 47.96. About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 8.58. Cedar Fair LP next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 3rd of March 2020. The entity had 2:1 split on the 18th of November 1997. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipatedpress releasewill be in about 8 days.
Please check Cedar Fair Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Cedar Fair Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cedar Fair's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cedar Fair's future price movements. Getting to know how Cedar Fair rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cedar Fair may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Vinco Ventures(0.28) 9 per month 7.39  0.1  21.05 (13.36)  98.88 
Brunswick Corp 0.46 10 per month 0.00 (0.0453)  2.98 (2.84)  8.53 
Ballantyne Strong(0.15) 5 per month 0.00 (0.08)  4.84 (5.76)  15.20 
Clarus Corp(0.91) 10 per month 1.53  0.06  2.81 (3.00)  6.11 
Drive Shack 0.02 2 per month 2.85  0.0234  5.13 (4.90)  17.56 
Callaway Golf 0.23 8 per month 0.00 (0.09)  3.60 (4.03)  14.20 
Escalade(0.17) 9 per month 0.00 (0.18)  2.33 (3.53)  9.70 
Funko Inc Cl(0.77) 4 per month 0.00 (0.0132)  5.40 (5.14)  13.63 

Cedar Fair Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cedar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cedar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cedar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Cedar Fair Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Cedar Fair stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cedar Fair LP, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cedar Fair based on analysis of Cedar Fair hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cedar Fair's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cedar Fair's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Cedar Fair

The number of cover stories for Cedar Fair depends on current market conditions and Cedar Fair's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cedar Fair is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cedar Fair's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Cedar Fair Short Properties

Cedar Fair's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cedar Fair's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cedar Fair LP often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cedar Fair's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cedar Fair's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out9.10%
Short Percent Of Float9.26%
Float Shares55.97M
Shares Short Prior Month5.14M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day186.27k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month367.05k
Date Short Interest15th of June 2021
Please check Cedar Fair Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Cedar Fair LP information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Cedar Fair's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

Complementary Tools for Cedar Stock analysis

When running Cedar Fair LP price analysis, check to measure Cedar Fair's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cedar Fair is operating at the current time. Most of Cedar Fair's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cedar Fair's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cedar Fair's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cedar Fair to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Cedar Fair LP is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cedar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cedar Fair's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cedar Fair's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cedar Fair's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cedar Fair LP underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cedar Fair's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Cedar Fair value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cedar Fair's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.