Gaia Stock Future Price Prediction

GAIA Stock  USD 2.64  0.04  1.49%   
Gaia Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Gaia shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Gaia's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Gaia and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Gaia's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gaia Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Gaia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Gaia based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Gaia stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Gaia over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.88) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.02
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.01) 
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.08
Wall Street Target Price
7
Using Gaia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gaia Inc from the perspective of Gaia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gaia using Gaia's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gaia using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gaia's stock price.
Gaia Interest Coverage is projected to increase based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Interest Coverage was at 6.74. The current year Long Term Debt to Equity is expected to grow to 0.18, whereas Calculated Tax Rate is forecasted to decline to (113.54) .

Gaia Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Gaia's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Gaia. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Gaia stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Gaia may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Gaia and may potentially protect profits, hedge Gaia with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
3.1804
Short Percent
0.0049
Short Ratio
1.46
Shares Short Prior Month
42.1 K
50 Day MA
3.117

Gaia Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Gaia's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Gaia. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gaia can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gaia Inc. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Gaia's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Gaia.

Gaia Implied Volatility

    
  2.43  
Gaia's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gaia Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gaia's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gaia stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gaia's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Gaia. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gaia to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gaia because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Gaia after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.68  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gaia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Gaia in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.091.888.66
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
0.001.4120,211,123
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gaia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gaia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gaia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Gaia Inc.

Gaia After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Gaia at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gaia or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gaia, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Gaia Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Gaia's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gaia's historical news coverage. Gaia's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 9.46, respectively. We have considered Gaia's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 2.64
2.68
After-hype Price
9.46
Upside
Gaia is dangerous asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gaia Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Gaia Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Gaia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gaia backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gaia, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.38  6.83   0.09    0.08  7 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.642.681.13 
2,732  

Gaia Hype Timeline

Gaia Inc is currently traded for 2.64. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Gaia is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 2.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 1.13% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.38%. The volatility of related hype on Gaia is about 3299.52% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 2.56. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 82.03 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 71.12 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Please check Gaia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Gaia Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Gaia's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gaia's future price movements. Getting to know how Gaia rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gaia may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMCAMC Entertainment Holdings(0.32) 5 per month 0.00 (0.0124)  16.41 (9.12)  37.76 
AMCXAMC Networks(1.28) 10 per month 0.00 (0.0041)  5.53 (7.04)  44.14 
ANTEAirnet Technology(0.06) 3 per month 0.00 (0.0312)  15.69 (11.70)  57.81 
ATUSAltice USA(0.41) 9 per month 0.00 (0.07)  6.31 (6.41)  18.38 
ATYAcuityAds Holdings 0.14 7 per month 0.00 (0.027)  6.11 (4.84)  17.38 
AUDAudacy Inc(0.02) 9 per month 0.00 (0.11)  10.71 (9.09)  68.49 
BATRALiberty Media Corp(0.50) 6 per month 1.29  0.07  1.65 (2.13)  5.95 
BATRKLiberty Media Corp(0.64) 10 per month 1.26  0.07  1.67 (1.94)  5.72 
BBGIBeasley Broadcast Group(0.01) 6 per month 2.97  0.07  5.65 (4.95)  15.38 
CABOCable One 1.03 10 per month 0.00 (0.09)  3.66 (3.46)  9.48 

Gaia Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Gaia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gaia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gaia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Gaia Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Gaia stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gaia Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gaia based on analysis of Gaia hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gaia's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gaia's related companies.
 2022 2023 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.170.18
Interest Coverage6.747.27

Story Coverage note for Gaia

The number of cover stories for Gaia depends on current market conditions and Gaia's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gaia is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gaia's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Gaia Short Properties

Gaia's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gaia's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gaia Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gaia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gaia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments11.6 M
Please check Gaia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

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Is Gaia's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gaia. If investors know Gaia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gaia listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.88) 
Earnings Share
(0.12) 
Revenue Per Share
3.96
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06) 
Return On Assets
(0.001) 
The market value of Gaia Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gaia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gaia's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gaia's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gaia's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gaia's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gaia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Gaia value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gaia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.