GATX Corp Stock Future Price Prediction

GATX -  USA Stock  

USD 111.35  0.90  0.81%

GATX Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of GATX Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of GATX Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of GATX Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from GATX Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with GATX Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check GATX Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of GATX Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The GATX Corp stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on GATX Corp over a specific investment horizon. Using GATX Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GATX Corp from the perspective of GATX Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards GATX Corp using GATX Corp's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards GATX Corp using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of GATX Corp's stock price.
GATX Corp Asset Turnover is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. GATX Corp reported Asset Turnover of 0.13 in 2021. Dividend Yield is likely to rise to 0.0207 in 2022, whereas Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 5.77 in 2022.

GATX Corp Implied Volatility

    
  27.55  
GATX Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of GATX Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if GATX Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that GATX Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when GATX Corp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in GATX Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GATX Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GATX Corp because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

GATX Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 110.64  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of GATX Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of GATX Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
99.41124.37126.05
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
112.00116.00120.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.484.524.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GATX Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GATX Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GATX Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in GATX Corp.

GATX Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of GATX Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GATX Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of GATX Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

GATX Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting GATX Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GATX Corp's historical news coverage. GATX Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 108.96 and 112.32, respectively. We have considered GATX Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 111.35
108.96
Downside
110.64
After-hype Price
112.32
Upside
GATX Corp is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GATX Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

GATX Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as GATX Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GATX Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GATX Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.06  1.67  0.11   0.01  9 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
111.35110.640.17 
88.83  

GATX Corp Hype Timeline

GATX Corp is currently traded for 111.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.11 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. GATX Corp is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 110.64 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 88.83%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.17% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. The volatility of related hype on GATX Corp is about 802.88% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 111.36. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.27 B. Net Income was 182.4 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 903.6 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipatedpress releasewill be in about 9 days.
Please check GATX Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

GATX Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to GATX Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GATX Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how GATX Corp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GATX Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CAI
CAI International 0.03 2 per month 0.00  2.43  0.11 (0.05)  0.31 
CAR
Avis Budget Group 2.00 10 per month 5.23  0.07  11.01 (8.73)  32.70 
FPAY
Flexshopper 0.03 3 per month 0.00 (0.20)  5.66 (9.03)  21.50 
AL
Air Lease Corp 0.40 5 per month 0.00 (0.0216)  5.24 (6.55)  16.24 
FLY
Fly Leasing Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GFN
General Finance 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GLG
TD Holdings(0.01) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0143)  11.76 (12.50)  51.39 
FTAI
Fortress Transn Infras(0.28) 3 per month 0.00 (0.11)  5.29 (6.36)  18.29 
MGRC
McGrath RentCorp(0.81) 8 per month 1.52  0.12  2.98 (2.24)  14.18 
HRI
Herc Holdings 0.72 7 per month 0.00 (0.10)  5.86 (8.21)  21.55 

GATX Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine GATX Corp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GATX Corp using various technical indicators. When you analyze GATX Corp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About GATX Corp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of GATX Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GATX Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GATX Corp based on analysis of GATX Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GATX Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GATX Corp's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity2.612.743.153.3
Interest Coverage1.691.511.731.78

Story Coverage note for GATX Corp

The number of cover stories for GATX Corp depends on current market conditions and GATX Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GATX Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GATX Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

GATX Corp Short Properties

GATX Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when GATX Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GATX Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GATX Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GATX Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date24th of February 2022
Shares Percent Shares Out7.65%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.02
Short Percent Of Float12.57%
Float Shares35.4M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day207.78k
Shares Short Prior Month2.67M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month208.84k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Please check GATX Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the GATX Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other GATX Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.

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Is GATX Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GATX Corp. If investors know GATX Corp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GATX Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of GATX Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GATX Corp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GATX Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GATX Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GATX Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GATX Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GATX Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine GATX Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GATX Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.