GATX Stock Future Price Prediction

GATX
 Stock
  

USD 107.93  2.15  1.95%   

GATX stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of GATX shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of GATX's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of GATX and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from GATX's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with GATX Corporation, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check GATX Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of GATX based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The GATX stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on GATX over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.27) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.33
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.95
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.52
Wall Street Target Price
125.0
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.21
Using GATX hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GATX Corporation from the perspective of GATX response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards GATX using GATX's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards GATX using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of GATX's stock price.
GATX Current Ratio is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. GATX reported Current Ratio of 2.17 in 2021. Debt to Equity Ratio is likely to rise to 3.21 in 2022, whereas Calculated Tax Rate is likely to drop 23.71 in 2022.

GATX Implied Volatility

    
  9.0  
GATX's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of GATX Corporation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if GATX's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that GATX stock will not fluctuate a lot when GATX's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in GATX. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GATX to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GATX because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

GATX after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 108.15  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current GATX contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that GATX Corporation will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.56% per day over the life of the 2022-12-16 option contract. With GATX trading at USD107.93, that is roughly USD0.61. If you think that the market is fully incorporating GATX's daily price movement you should consider acquiring GATX Corporation options at the current volatility level of 9.0%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of GATX's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of GATX in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
96.84119.09121.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
108.83110.81112.80
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
112.00116.00120.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.484.524.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GATX. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GATX's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GATX's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in GATX.

GATX After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of GATX at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GATX or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GATX, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

GATX Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting GATX's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GATX's historical news coverage. GATX's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 106.16 and 110.14, respectively. We have considered GATX's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 107.93
106.16
Downside
108.15
After-hype Price
110.14
Upside
GATX is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GATX is based on 3 months time horizon.

GATX Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as GATX is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GATX backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GATX, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.24  1.99  0.55    0.01  4 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
107.93108.150.51 
86.90  

GATX Hype Timeline

GATX is currently traded for 107.93. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.55 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. GATX is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 108.15 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 86.9%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.51% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on GATX is about 8528.57% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 107.92. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.26 B. Net Income was 143.1 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 903.6 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days.
Please check GATX Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

GATX Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to GATX's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GATX's future price movements. Getting to know how GATX rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GATX may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

GATX Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine GATX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GATX using various technical indicators. When you analyze GATX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About GATX Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of GATX stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GATX Corporation, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GATX based on analysis of GATX hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GATX's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GATX's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity2.612.742.92
Interest Coverage1.691.511.46

Story Coverage note for GATX

The number of cover stories for GATX depends on current market conditions and GATX's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GATX is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GATX's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

GATX Short Properties

GATX's future price predictability will typically decrease when GATX's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GATX Corporation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GATX's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GATX's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding36000000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments344300000.00
Please check GATX Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

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When running GATX price analysis, check to measure GATX's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GATX is operating at the current time. Most of GATX's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GATX's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GATX's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GATX to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is GATX's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GATX. If investors know GATX will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GATX listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.27) 
Market Capitalization
B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.024
Return On Assets
0.0204
Return On Equity
0.086
The market value of GATX is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GATX that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GATX's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GATX's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GATX's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GATX's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GATX's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine GATX value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GATX's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.