General Dynamics Stock Price Prediction

GD Stock  USD 293.27  1.28  0.44%   
At the present time, the relative strength indicator of General Dynamics' share price is approaching 30. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling General Dynamics, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

30

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of General Dynamics' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of General Dynamics and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from General Dynamics' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with General Dynamics, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting General Dynamics' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.091
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
3.49
EPS Estimate Current Year
14.54
EPS Estimate Next Year
16.33
Wall Street Target Price
315.54
Using General Dynamics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of General Dynamics from the perspective of General Dynamics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards General Dynamics using General Dynamics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards General using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of General Dynamics' stock price.

General Dynamics Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in General Dynamics' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards General. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of General Dynamics stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
271.2452
Short Percent
0.0081
Short Ratio
2.1
Shares Short Prior Month
1.9 M
50 Day MA
293.3108

General Dynamics Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to General Dynamics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in General. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding General can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around General Dynamics. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of General Dynamics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about General Dynamics.

General Dynamics Implied Volatility

    
  34.19  
General Dynamics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of General Dynamics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if General Dynamics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that General Dynamics stock will not fluctuate a lot when General Dynamics' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in General Dynamics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying General because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

General Dynamics after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 293.24  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current General contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that General Dynamics will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.14% per day over the life of the 2024-07-19 option contract. With General Dynamics trading at USD 293.27, that is roughly USD 6.27 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating General Dynamics' daily price movement you should consider acquiring General Dynamics options at the current volatility level of 34.19%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out General Dynamics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade General Stock refer to our How to Trade General Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of General Dynamics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
250.57251.49322.60
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
228.20250.77278.35
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.023.273.42
Details

General Dynamics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of General Dynamics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in General Dynamics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of General Dynamics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

General Dynamics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting General Dynamics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on General Dynamics' historical news coverage. General Dynamics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 292.32 and 294.16, respectively. We have considered General Dynamics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
293.27
292.32
Downside
293.24
After-hype Price
294.16
Upside
General Dynamics is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of General Dynamics is based on 3 months time horizon.

General Dynamics Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as General Dynamics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading General Dynamics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with General Dynamics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
0.91
  0.03 
  0.26 
12 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
293.27
293.24
0.01 
57.59  
Notes

General Dynamics Hype Timeline

As of July 19, 2024 General Dynamics is listed for 293.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.26. General is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 293.24. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 57.59%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on General Dynamics is about 6.98%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 293.01. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of General Dynamics was currently reported as 78.16. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.75. General Dynamics recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.26. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of July 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 27th of March 2006. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out General Dynamics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade General Stock refer to our How to Trade General Stock guide.

General Dynamics Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to General Dynamics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict General Dynamics' future price movements. Getting to know how General Dynamics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how General Dynamics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

General Dynamics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine General price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for General using various technical indicators. When you analyze General charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About General Dynamics Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of General Dynamics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as General Dynamics, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of General Dynamics based on analysis of General Dynamics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to General Dynamics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to General Dynamics's related companies.

Story Coverage note for General Dynamics

The number of cover stories for General Dynamics depends on current market conditions and General Dynamics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that General Dynamics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about General Dynamics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

General Dynamics Short Properties

General Dynamics' future price predictability will typically decrease when General Dynamics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of General Dynamics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential General Dynamics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. General Dynamics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding275.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.9 B

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When running General Dynamics' price analysis, check to measure General Dynamics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy General Dynamics is operating at the current time. Most of General Dynamics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of General Dynamics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move General Dynamics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of General Dynamics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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