Gds Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| GDS Stock | USD 7.26 0.49 7.24% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
GDS Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of GDS Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of GDS Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of GDS Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from GDS Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with GDS Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting GDS Holdings' stock price prediction:EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.28) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.09) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.74) | Wall Street Target Price 15.18 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.34) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of GDS Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The GDS stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on GDS Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Using GDS Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GDS Holdings from the perspective of GDS Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards GDS Holdings using GDS Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards GDS using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of GDS Holdings' stock price.
GDS Holdings Implied Volatility | 82.72 |
GDS Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of GDS Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if GDS Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that GDS Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when GDS Holdings' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in GDS Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GDS Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GDS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
GDS Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 7.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
GDS |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GDS Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GDS Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GDS Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GDS Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GDS Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GDS Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GDS Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GDS Holdings' historical news coverage. GDS Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.84 and 13.92, respectively. We have considered GDS Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GDS Holdings is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GDS Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
GDS Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GDS Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GDS Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GDS Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.59 | 6.58 | 0.13 | 1.20 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.26 | 7.38 | 1.65 |
|
GDS Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 25th of April GDS Holdings is traded for 7.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.2. GDS is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 7.38 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 1.65%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.59%. The volatility of related hype on GDS Holdings is about 322.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.06. The company reported the last year's revenue of 9.96 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.29 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.94 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out GDS Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.GDS Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GDS Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GDS Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how GDS Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GDS Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CACI | CACI International | (3.08) | 11 per month | 0.76 | 0.11 | 1.81 | (1.47) | 4.36 | |
| CDW | CDW Corp | 0.16 | 9 per month | 0.90 | 0 | 1.64 | (1.52) | 5.82 | |
| JKHY | Jack Henry Associates | (3.54) | 12 per month | 1.07 | (0.07) | 1.53 | (1.88) | 5.66 | |
| BR | Broadridge Financial Solutions | (2.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.39 | (1.77) | 3.87 | |
| FIS | Fidelity National Information | (1.65) | 9 per month | 0.86 | 0.15 | 2.30 | (1.74) | 7.15 | |
| LDOS | Leidos Holdings | (2.13) | 8 per month | 0.27 | 0.15 | 1.34 | (1.13) | 7.52 |
GDS Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GDS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GDS using various technical indicators. When you analyze GDS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About GDS Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of GDS Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GDS Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GDS Holdings based on analysis of GDS Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GDS Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GDS Holdings's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 9.02E-4 | 0.001981 | 0.002278 | 0.002165 | Price To Sales Ratio | 6.98 | 2.79 | 1.19 | 1.13 |
Story Coverage note for GDS Holdings
The number of cover stories for GDS Holdings depends on current market conditions and GDS Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GDS Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GDS Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
GDS Holdings Short Properties
GDS Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when GDS Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GDS Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GDS Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GDS Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 183.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.7 B |
Check out GDS Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy GDS Stock please use our How to Invest in GDS Holdings guide.Note that the GDS Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other GDS Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Complementary Tools for GDS Stock analysis
When running GDS Holdings' price analysis, check to measure GDS Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GDS Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of GDS Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GDS Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GDS Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GDS Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity | |
| Bond Analysis Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios. | |
| Aroon Oscillator Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios | |
| Efficient Frontier Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market. | |
| Share Portfolio Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Earnings Calls Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges | |
| Bollinger Bands Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon | |
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
| Content Syndication Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal |
Is GDS Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GDS Holdings. If investors know GDS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GDS Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.02) | Revenue Per Share 54.252 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.063 | Return On Assets 0.0047 | Return On Equity (0.19) |
The market value of GDS Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GDS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GDS Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GDS Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GDS Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GDS Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GDS Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GDS Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GDS Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.