General Electric stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of General Electric shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of General Electric's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of General Electric and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from General Electric's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with General Electric, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
EPS Estimate Current Year
EPS Estimate Next Year
Wall Street Target Price
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of General Electric based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The General stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on General Electric over a specific investment horizon. Using General Electric hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of General Electric from the perspective of General Electric response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards General Electric using General Electric's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards General using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of General Electric's stock price.
General Electric Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in General Electric's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards General. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of General Electric stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long General Electric may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about General Electric and may potentially protect profits, hedge General Electric with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
Shares Short Prior Month
50 Day MA
General Electric Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to General Electric's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in General. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding General can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around General Electric. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of General Electric's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about General Electric.
General Electric Implied Volatility
General Electric's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of General Electric stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if General Electric's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that General Electric stock will not fluctuate a lot when General Electric's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in General Electric. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in General Electric to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying General because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
General Electric after-hype prediction price
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current General contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that General Electric will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.85% per day over the life of the 2023-09-29 option contract. With General Electric trading at USD111.25, that is roughly USD2.06. If you think that the market is fully incorporating General Electric's daily price movement you should consider acquiring General Electric options at the current volatility level of 29.63%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.Check out General Electric Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade General Stock refer to our How to Trade General Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of General Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of General Electric in the context of predictive analytics.
General Electric After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of General Electric at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in General Electric or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of General Electric, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
General Electric Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting General Electric's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on General Electric's historical news coverage. General Electric's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 110.04 and 112.78, respectively. We have considered General Electric's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
General Electric Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as General Electric is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading General Electric backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with General Electric, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
|Expected Return||Period Volatility||Hype Elasticity||Related Elasticity||News Density||Related Density||Expected Hype|
|0.11||1.37||0.16||0.06||9 Events / Month||6 Events / Month||In about 9 days|
|Latest traded price||Expected after-news price||Potential return on next major news||Average after-hype volatility|
General Electric Hype TimelineAs of September 24, 2023 General Electric is listed for 111.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.16 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. General is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 111.41 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 97.16%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.14% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on General Electric is about 259.03% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 111.31. The company generated the yearly revenue of 76.56 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (795 M) with gross profit of 18.54 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out General Electric Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade General Stock refer to our How to Trade General Stock guide.
General Electric Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to General Electric's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict General Electric's future price movements. Getting to know how General Electric rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how General Electric may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
General Electric Additional Predictive ModulesMost predictive techniques to examine General price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for General using various technical indicators. When you analyze General charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
About General Electric Predictive Indicators
Story Coverage note for General Electric
The number of cover stories for General Electric depends on current market conditions and General Electric's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that General Electric is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about General Electric's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
General Electric Short Properties
General Electric's future price predictability will typically decrease when General Electric's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of General Electric often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential General Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. General Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Check out General Electric Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade General Stock refer to our How to Trade General Stock guide. Note that the General Electric information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other General Electric's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Complementary Tools for General Stock analysis
When running General Electric's price analysis, check to measure General Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy General Electric is operating at the current time. Most of General Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of General Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move General Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of General Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Is General Electric's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of General Electric. If investors know General will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about General Electric listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
Revenue Per Share
Quarterly Revenue Growth
The market value of General Electric is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of General that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of General Electric's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is General Electric's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because General Electric's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect General Electric's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between General Electric's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if General Electric is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, General Electric's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.