Greif Bros Stock Price Prediction
| GEF Stock | USD 60.78 0.96 1.55% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Greif Bros stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Greif Bros shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Greif Bros' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Greif Bros and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Greif Bros' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Greif Bros, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Greif Bros' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.35 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.28 | Wall Street Target Price 79.25 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.47 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Greif Bros based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Greif stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Greif Bros over a specific investment horizon. Using Greif Bros hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Greif Bros from the perspective of Greif Bros response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Greif Bros using Greif Bros' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Greif using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Greif Bros' stock price.
Greif Bros Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Greif Bros' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Greif. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Greif Bros stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Greif Bros may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Greif Bros and may potentially protect profits, hedge Greif Bros with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 66.7467 | Short Percent 0.027 | Short Ratio 2.67 | Shares Short Prior Month 513.4 K | 50 Day MA 64.1362 |
Greif Bros Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Greif Bros' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Greif. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Greif can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Greif Bros. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Greif Bros' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Greif Bros.
Greif Bros Implied Volatility | 185.72 |
Greif Bros' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Greif Bros stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Greif Bros' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Greif Bros stock will not fluctuate a lot when Greif Bros' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Greif Bros. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Greif Bros to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Greif because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Greif Bros after-hype prediction price | USD 60.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Greif |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Greif Bros' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Greif Bros After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Greif Bros at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Greif Bros or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Greif Bros, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Greif Bros Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Greif Bros' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Greif Bros' historical news coverage. Greif Bros' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 59.43 and 62.25, respectively. We have considered Greif Bros' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Greif Bros is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Greif Bros is based on 3 months time horizon.
Greif Bros Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Greif Bros is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Greif Bros backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Greif Bros, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.41 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
60.78 | 60.84 | 0.10 |
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Greif Bros Hype Timeline
On the 19th of April Greif Bros is traded for 60.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Greif is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 60.84 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Greif Bros is about 983.72%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 60.79. The company reported the last year's revenue of 5.22 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 379.1 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.15 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Greif Bros Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Greif Bros Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Greif Bros' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Greif Bros' future price movements. Getting to know how Greif Bros' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Greif Bros may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KRT | Karat Packaging | (0.06) | 9 per month | 2.43 | 0.07 | 4.32 | (2.90) | 17.36 | |
| REYN | Reynolds Consumer Products | (0.36) | 11 per month | 1.01 | (0.01) | 1.42 | (1.74) | 4.34 | |
| PTVE | Pactiv Evergreen | (0.39) | 8 per month | 2.37 | (0.01) | 3.20 | (2.56) | 13.39 | |
| PKG | Packaging Corp of | (0.45) | 9 per month | 0.83 | 0.06 | 1.62 | (1.66) | 6.24 | |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corp | 1.97 | 10 per month | 0.81 | 0.04 | 1.28 | (1.46) | 4.43 | |
| WRK | WestRock Co | 0.15 | 12 per month | 0.90 | 0.11 | 2.46 | (1.86) | 10.42 |
Greif Bros Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Greif price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Greif using various technical indicators. When you analyze Greif charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Greif Bros Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Greif Bros stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Greif Bros, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Greif Bros based on analysis of Greif Bros hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Greif Bros's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Greif Bros's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0284 | 0.0286 | 0.0217 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.62 | 0.81 | 0.86 |
Story Coverage note for Greif Bros
The number of cover stories for Greif Bros depends on current market conditions and Greif Bros' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Greif Bros is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Greif Bros' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Greif Bros Short Properties
Greif Bros' future price predictability will typically decrease when Greif Bros' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Greif Bros often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Greif Bros' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Greif Bros' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 180.9 M |
Check out Greif Bros Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Greif Stock please use our How to Invest in Greif Bros guide.Note that the Greif Bros information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Greif Bros' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Complementary Tools for Greif Stock analysis
When running Greif Bros' price analysis, check to measure Greif Bros' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greif Bros is operating at the current time. Most of Greif Bros' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greif Bros' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greif Bros' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greif Bros to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Greif Bros' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Greif Bros. If investors know Greif will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Greif Bros listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | Dividend Share 2.06 | Earnings Share 5.78 | Revenue Per Share 109.793 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Greif Bros is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Greif that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Greif Bros' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Greif Bros' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Greif Bros' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Greif Bros' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Greif Bros' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Greif Bros is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Greif Bros' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.