Griffon Stock Price Prediction

GFF Stock  USD 71.79  2.74  3.97%   
As of 23rd of July 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Griffon's share price is approaching 38. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Griffon, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

38

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Griffon's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Griffon and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Griffon's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Griffon, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Griffon hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Griffon from the perspective of Griffon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Griffon to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Griffon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Griffon after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 71.79  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Griffon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Griffon Stock please use our How to Invest in Griffon guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Griffon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
56.1458.6378.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
73.2375.7278.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
59.6666.0672.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Griffon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Griffon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Griffon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Griffon.

Griffon After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Griffon at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Griffon or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Griffon, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Griffon Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Griffon's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Griffon's historical news coverage. Griffon's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 69.30 and 74.28, respectively. We have considered Griffon's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
71.79
71.79
After-hype Price
74.28
Upside
Griffon is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Griffon is based on 3 months time horizon.

Griffon Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Griffon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Griffon backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Griffon, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
2.49
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
71.79
71.79
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Griffon Hype Timeline

On the 23rd of July Griffon is traded for 71.79. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Griffon is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Griffon is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 71.79. About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.36. Griffon last dividend was issued on the 29th of May 2024. The entity had 11:10 split on the 16th of August 2001. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Griffon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Griffon Stock please use our How to Invest in Griffon guide.

Griffon Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Griffon's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Griffon's future price movements. Getting to know how Griffon's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Griffon may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Griffon Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Griffon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Griffon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Griffon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Griffon Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Griffon stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Griffon, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Griffon based on analysis of Griffon hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Griffon's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Griffon's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Griffon

The number of cover stories for Griffon depends on current market conditions and Griffon's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Griffon is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Griffon's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Griffon Short Properties

Griffon's future price predictability will typically decrease when Griffon's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Griffon often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Griffon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Griffon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding54.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments102.9 M

Complementary Tools for Griffon Stock analysis

When running Griffon's price analysis, check to measure Griffon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Griffon is operating at the current time. Most of Griffon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Griffon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Griffon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Griffon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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