G Iii Apparel Group Stock Price Prediction
| GIII Stock | USD 27.64 0.49 1.80% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
G III Apparel stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of G III shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of G III's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of G III and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from G III's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with G III Apparel Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting G III's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.175 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.97 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.88 | Wall Street Target Price 27.6 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.67 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of G III based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The GIII stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on G III over a specific investment horizon. Using G III hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of G III Apparel Group from the perspective of G III response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards G III using G III's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards GIII using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of G III's stock price.
G III Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
G III's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of G III Apparel Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if G III's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that G III stock will not fluctuate a lot when G III's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in G III. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in G III to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GIII because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
G III after-hype prediction price | USD 27.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
GIII |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of G III's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
G III After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of G III at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in G III or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of G III, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
G III Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting G III's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on G III's historical news coverage. G III's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.29 and 30.03, respectively. We have considered G III's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
G III is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of G III Apparel is based on 3 months time horizon.
G III Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as G III is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading G III backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with G III, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 2.88 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
27.64 | 27.16 | 0.04 |
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G III Hype Timeline
G III Apparel is currently traded for 27.64. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. GIII is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 27.16 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.11%. The volatility of related hype on G III is about 339.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.73. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.1 B. Net Income was 176.17 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.1 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out G III Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.G III Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to G III's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict G III's future price movements. Getting to know how G III's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how G III may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BC | Brunswick | (1.44) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.74 | (3.05) | 9.44 | |
| DOOO | BRP Inc | (0.61) | 10 per month | 2.10 | (0) | 3.44 | (3.55) | 11.09 | |
| VOXX | VOXX International | 0.19 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.96 | (5.65) | 17.49 | |
| VZIO | Vizio Holding Corp | 0.05 | 11 per month | 1.00 | 0.14 | 3.45 | (2.59) | 26.39 | |
| BLD | Topbuild Corp | 6.05 | 11 per month | 2.01 | 0.02 | 3.08 | (3.38) | 11.23 |
G III Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GIII price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GIII using various technical indicators. When you analyze GIII charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About G III Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of G III stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as G III Apparel Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of G III based on analysis of G III hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to G III's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to G III's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001028 | 0.0348 | 0.04 | 0.042 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.48 | 0.25 | 0.45 | 0.32 |
Story Coverage note for G III
The number of cover stories for G III depends on current market conditions and G III's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that G III is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about G III's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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G III Short Properties
G III's future price predictability will typically decrease when G III's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of G III Apparel Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential G III's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. G III's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 507.8 M |
Check out G III Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Complementary Tools for GIII Stock analysis
When running G III's price analysis, check to measure G III's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy G III is operating at the current time. Most of G III's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of G III's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move G III's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of G III to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is G III's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of G III. If investors know GIII will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about G III listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.175 | Earnings Share 3.75 | Revenue Per Share 67.56 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) | Return On Assets 0.0672 |
The market value of G III Apparel is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GIII that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of G III's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is G III's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because G III's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect G III's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between G III's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if G III is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, G III's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.