Grifols OTC Stock Future Price Prediction

GIKLY -  USA Stock  

USD 13.41  1.47  12.31%

Grifols Sa ADR stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Grifols Sa shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Grifols Sa's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Grifols Sa and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Grifols Sa's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Grifols Sa ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Grifols Sa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Grifols Sa based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Grifols stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Grifols Sa over a specific investment horizon. Using Grifols Sa hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Grifols Sa ADR from the perspective of Grifols Sa response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Grifols Sa. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Grifols Sa to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Grifols because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Grifols Sa after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 13.41  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grifols Sa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Grifols Sa in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.6013.1115.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.6613.1815.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.1012.0913.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Grifols Sa. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Grifols Sa's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Grifols Sa's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Grifols Sa ADR.

Grifols Sa After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Grifols Sa at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Grifols Sa or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Grifols Sa, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Grifols Sa Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Grifols Sa's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Grifols Sa's historical news coverage. Grifols Sa's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.90 and 15.92, respectively. We have considered Grifols Sa's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.41
24th of September 2021
13.41
After-hype Price
15.92
Upside
Grifols Sa is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Grifols Sa ADR is based on 1 month time horizon.

Grifols Sa OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Grifols Sa is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grifols Sa backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Grifols Sa, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.73  3.78  0.00   0.27  4 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.4113.410.00 
0.00  

Grifols Sa Hype Timeline

Grifols Sa ADR is currently traded for 13.41. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.27. Grifols expected not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of about 0.0%. The immediate return on the next newsis expected to be very small whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.73%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Grifols Sa is about 1009.92%. The volatility of related hype on Grifols Sa is about 1009.92% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 13.68. The book value of the company was currently reported as 3.96. The company next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 3rd of June 2021. Grifols Sa ADR had 2:1 split on the 4th of January 2016. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expectedpress releasewill be in about 4 days.
Please check Grifols Sa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Grifols Sa Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Grifols Sa's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Grifols Sa's future price movements. Getting to know how Grifols Sa rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Grifols Sa may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Grifols Sa Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Grifols price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grifols using various technical indicators. When you analyze Grifols charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Grifols Sa Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Grifols Sa stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Grifols Sa ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Grifols Sa based on analysis of Grifols Sa hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Grifols Sa's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Grifols Sa's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Grifols Sa

The number of cover stories for Grifols Sa depends on current market conditions and Grifols Sa's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Grifols Sa is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Grifols Sa's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Grifols Sa Short Properties

Grifols Sa's future price predictability will typically decrease when Grifols Sa's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Grifols Sa ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Grifols Sa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grifols Sa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.36
Float Shares1.1B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day50
Average Daily Volume In Three Month966
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.02%
Please check Grifols Sa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Grifols Sa ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Grifols Sa's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

Complementary Tools for Grifols OTC Stock analysis

When running Grifols Sa ADR price analysis, check to measure Grifols Sa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grifols Sa is operating at the current time. Most of Grifols Sa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grifols Sa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grifols Sa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grifols Sa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Grifols Sa ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grifols that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grifols Sa's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grifols Sa's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Grifols Sa's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grifols Sa ADR underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grifols Sa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Grifols Sa value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grifols Sa's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.