Gms Stock Future Price Prediction

GMS
 Stock
  

USD 45.49  0.32  0.71%   

Gms Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Gms shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Gms' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Gms and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Gms' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gms Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Gms Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Gms based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Gms stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Gms over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
2.78
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.86
EPS Estimate Current Year
7.28
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.92
Wall Street Target Price
56.13
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.88
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.54
Using Gms hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gms Inc from the perspective of Gms response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gms using Gms' options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gms using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gms' stock price.
Gms Revenue to Assets are relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Gms reported last year Revenue to Assets of 0.18. As of 06/29/2022, Total Assets Per Share is likely to grow to 2.21, while Operating Margin is likely to drop (84.92) .

Gms Implied Volatility

    
  48.41  
Gms' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gms Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gms' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gms stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gms' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Gms. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gms to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gms because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Gms after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 45.56  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gms' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Gms in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
40.9455.6858.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
41.6444.7047.75
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
58.0065.6772.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
7.077.107.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gms. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gms' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gms' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Gms Inc.

Gms After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Gms at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gms or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Gms, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Gms Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Gms' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gms' historical news coverage. Gms' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.50 and 48.62, respectively. We have considered Gms' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 45.49
45.56
After-hype Price
48.62
Upside
Gms is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gms Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Gms Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Gms is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gms backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gms, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10  3.06  0.07   0.01  5 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
45.4945.560.15 
413.51  

Gms Hype Timeline

On the 29th of June Gms Inc is traded for 45.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Gms is expected to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 45.56 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.15% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Gms is about 3278.57% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 45.5. The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.28 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 230.69 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.06 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expectedpress releasewill be in about 5 days.
Please check Gms Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Gms Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Gms' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gms' future price movements. Getting to know how Gms rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gms may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CSLCarlisle Companies(0.20) 9 per month 0.00  0.07  3.16 (4.37)  10.05 
JELDJeld-Wen Holding 0.42 2 per month 0.00 (0.10)  5.22 (7.50)  20.03 
TRVThe Travelers Companies 0.77 10 per month 0.00 (0.0024)  1.69 (2.17)  6.41 
PGProcter Gamble(0.36) 11 per month 0.00  0.0495  2.54 (2.30)  8.89 
BABoeing Company 0.37 11 per month 0.00 (0.07)  5.64 (5.07)  16.31 
DDDupont Denemours(2.11) 10 per month 0.00 (0.13)  3.00 (3.87)  9.53 
HPQHp Inc 0.82 7 per month 0.00 (0.008)  4.02 (4.48)  21.74 
CSCOCisco Systems 1.08 8 per month 0.00 (0.07)  2.73 (3.26)  17.06 
HDHome Depot 0.05 10 per month 0.00  0.0035  2.92 (3.64)  8.63 

Gms Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Gms price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gms using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gms charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Gms Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Gms stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gms Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gms based on analysis of Gms hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gms's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gms's related companies.
 2017 2018 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.931.851.661.39
Interest Coverage0.770.931.071.1

Story Coverage note for Gms

The number of cover stories for Gms depends on current market conditions and Gms' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gms is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gms' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Gms Short Properties

Gms' future price predictability will typically decrease when Gms' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gms Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gms' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gms' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.35%
Short Percent Of Float3.88%
Float Shares36.54M
Shares Short Prior Month1.01M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day585.51k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month273.78k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Please check Gms Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Gms Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Gms' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

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When running Gms Inc price analysis, check to measure Gms' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gms is operating at the current time. Most of Gms' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gms' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gms' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gms to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Gms' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gms. If investors know Gms will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gms listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
2.78
Market Capitalization
B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.54
Return On Assets
0.0864
Return On Equity
0.26
The market value of Gms Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gms that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gms' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gms' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gms' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gms' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gms' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Gms value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gms' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.