Genius Stock Future Price Prediction

GNUS -  USA Stock  

USD 1.87  0.16  7.88%

Genius Brands Intern stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Genius Brands shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Genius Brands' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Genius Brands and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Genius Brands' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Genius Brands International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Genius Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Genius Price Prediction 

It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Genius Brands based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Genius stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Genius Brands over a specific investment horizon. Using Genius Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Genius Brands International from the perspective of Genius Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Genius Brands Sales per Share is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Genius Brands reported last year Sales per Share of 0.017. As of 10/27/2021, Tangible Assets Book Value per Share is likely to grow to 0.81, while Earnings per Basic Share are likely to drop (3.04) .
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Genius Brands. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Genius Brands to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Genius because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Genius Brands after-hype prediction price

  $ 1.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Genius Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Genius Brands in the context of predictive analytics.
LowReal ValueHigh
LowNext ValueHigh
1 Analysts
LowTarget PriceHigh
Band Projection (param)
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Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Genius Brands. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Genius Brands' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Genius Brands' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Genius Brands Intern.

Genius Brands After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Genius Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Genius Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Genius Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Genius Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Genius Brands' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Genius Brands' historical news coverage. Genius Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 8.90, respectively. We have considered Genius Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
27th of October 2021
After-hype Price
Genius Brands is dangerous asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Genius Brands Intern is based on 3 months time horizon.

Genius Brands Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Genius Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Genius Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Genius Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.39  7.05  0.02   0.22  8 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Genius Brands Hype Timeline

Genius Brands Intern is currently traded for 1.87. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.22. Genius is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 1.85. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -1.07% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.39%. The volatility of related hype on Genius Brands is about 1277.95% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1.65. The book value of the company was currently reported as 0.46. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.82. Genius Brands Intern had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:3 split on the 9th of November 2016. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipatedpress releasewill be in about 8 days.
Please check Genius Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Genius Brands Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Genius Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Genius Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how Genius Brands rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Genius Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Genius Brands Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Genius price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Genius using various technical indicators. When you analyze Genius charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Genius Brands Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Genius Brands stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Genius Brands International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Genius Brands based on analysis of Genius Brands hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Genius Brands's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Genius Brands's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Genius Brands

The number of cover stories for Genius Brands depends on current market conditions and Genius Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Genius Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Genius Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Genius Brands Short Properties

Genius Brands' future price predictability will typically decrease when Genius Brands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Genius Brands International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Genius Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Genius Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out15.49%
Short Percent Of Float16.28%
Float Shares279.37M
Shares Short Prior Month32.07M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.66M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month4.36M
Date Short Interest15th of April 2021
Please check Genius Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Genius Brands Intern information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Genius Brands' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..

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Is Genius Brands' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Genius Brands. If investors know Genius will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Genius Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Genius Brands Intern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Genius that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Genius Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Genius Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Genius Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Genius Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Genius Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Genius Brands value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Genius Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.