Groupon Stock Future Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real Value High 0.24 4.88 9.87 Details

3 Analysts Consensus Low Target Price High 6.00 7.50 10.00 Details

Earnings Estimates (2) Low Projected EPS High -1 -0.86 -0.72 Details

Groupon After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Groupon Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Groupon Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Groupon Hype Timeline

Groupon is currently traded for 4.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.23 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Groupon is projected to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 3.95. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -2.71% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.83%. The volatility of related hype on Groupon is about 4411.76% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 4.15. About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Groupon was currently reported as 0.28. The company recorded a loss per share of 4.15. Groupon last dividend was issued on the 11th of June 2020. The entity had 1:20 split on the 11th of June 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Please check Groupon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Groupon Related Hype Analysis

Groupon Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Groupon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Groupon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Groupon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The number of cover stories for Groupon depends on current market conditions and Groupon's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Groupon is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Groupon's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Groupon's future price predictability will typically decrease when Groupon's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Groupon often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Groupon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Groupon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Please check Groupon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.

When running Groupon price analysis, check to measure Groupon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Groupon is operating at the current time. Most of Groupon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Groupon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Groupon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Groupon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

Is Groupon's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Groupon. If investors know Groupon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Groupon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

The market value of Groupon is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Groupon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Groupon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Groupon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Groupon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Groupon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Groupon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Groupon value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Groupon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.