Gates Industrial Stock Price Prediction
| GTES Stock | USD 17.77 0.12 0.68% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
Gates Industrial stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Gates Industrial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Gates Industrial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Gates Industrial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Gates Industrial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gates Industrial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Gates Industrial's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.31 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.42 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.67 | Wall Street Target Price 19.6 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Gates Industrial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Gates stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Gates Industrial over a specific investment horizon. Using Gates Industrial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gates Industrial from the perspective of Gates Industrial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gates Industrial using Gates Industrial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gates using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gates Industrial's stock price.
Gates Industrial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Gates Industrial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Gates. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Gates Industrial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Gates Industrial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Gates Industrial and may potentially protect profits, hedge Gates Industrial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 13.2748 | Short Percent 0.0965 | Short Ratio 1.92 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.1 M | 50 Day MA 16.2188 |
Gates Industrial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Gates Industrial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Gates. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gates can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gates Industrial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Gates Industrial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Gates Industrial.
Gates Industrial Implied Volatility | 35.91 |
Gates Industrial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gates Industrial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gates Industrial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gates Industrial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gates Industrial's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Gates Industrial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gates Industrial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gates because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gates Industrial after-hype prediction price | USD 17.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gates |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gates Industrial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gates Industrial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gates Industrial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gates Industrial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gates Industrial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gates Industrial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gates Industrial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gates Industrial's historical news coverage. Gates Industrial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.89 and 19.41, respectively. We have considered Gates Industrial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gates Industrial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gates Industrial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gates Industrial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gates Industrial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gates Industrial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gates Industrial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.50 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 1.32 | 9 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.77 | 17.65 | 0.00 |
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Gates Industrial Hype Timeline
Gates Industrial is currently traded for 17.77. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 1.32. Gates is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.5%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gates Industrial is about 66.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.09. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.41. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Gates Industrial had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Gates Industrial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gates Industrial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gates Industrial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gates Industrial's future price movements. Getting to know how Gates Industrial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gates Industrial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PH | Parker Hannifin | 12.44 | 10 per month | 0.58 | 0.11 | 2.03 | (1.26) | 9.08 | |
| EMR | Emerson Electric | (0.38) | 9 per month | 0.64 | 0.08 | 1.50 | (1.46) | 12.09 | |
| AOS | Smith AO | 0.15 | 10 per month | 1.20 | 0.03 | 2.42 | (1.85) | 5.02 | |
| WTS | Watts Water Technologies | (1.67) | 12 per month | 2.02 | (0.02) | 2.29 | (1.84) | 11.44 |
Gates Industrial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gates price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gates using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gates charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gates Industrial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gates Industrial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gates Industrial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gates Industrial based on analysis of Gates Industrial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gates Industrial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gates Industrial's related companies. | 2015 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 1.52E-4 | 1.8E-5 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.91 | 1.57 |
Story Coverage note for Gates Industrial
The number of cover stories for Gates Industrial depends on current market conditions and Gates Industrial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gates Industrial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gates Industrial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gates Industrial Short Properties
Gates Industrial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gates Industrial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gates Industrial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gates Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gates Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 275.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 720.6 M |
Check out Gates Industrial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Gates Stock please use our How to Invest in Gates Industrial guide.Note that the Gates Industrial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Gates Industrial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Complementary Tools for Gates Stock analysis
When running Gates Industrial's price analysis, check to measure Gates Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gates Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of Gates Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gates Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gates Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gates Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Gates Industrial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gates Industrial. If investors know Gates will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gates Industrial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | Earnings Share 0.84 | Revenue Per Share 13.132 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) | Return On Assets 0.0416 |
The market value of Gates Industrial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gates that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gates Industrial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gates Industrial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gates Industrial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gates Industrial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gates Industrial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gates Industrial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gates Industrial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.