Hallmark Financial Services Price Prediction
| HALLDelisted Stock | USD 0.69 0.11 13.75% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
66
Oversold | Overbought |
Hallmark Financial stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Hallmark Financial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Hallmark Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Hallmark Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Hallmark Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hallmark Financial Services, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Hallmark Financial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Hallmark stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Hallmark Financial over a specific investment horizon. Using Hallmark Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hallmark Financial Services from the perspective of Hallmark Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Hallmark Financial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hallmark Financial to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hallmark because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Hallmark Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 0.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hallmark |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hallmark Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hallmark Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hallmark Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hallmark Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Hallmark Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hallmark Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hallmark Financial's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hallmark Financial's historical news coverage. Hallmark Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.69 and 0.69, respectively. We have considered Hallmark Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hallmark Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hallmark Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hallmark Financial Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hallmark Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hallmark Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hallmark Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.69 | 0.69 | 0.00 |
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Hallmark Financial Hype Timeline
Hallmark Financial is currently traded for 0.69. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Hallmark is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hallmark Financial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.69. About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.3. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hallmark Financial recorded a loss per share of 49.31. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of October 2010. The firm had 1:10 split on the 3rd of January 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.Hallmark Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hallmark Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hallmark Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Hallmark Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hallmark Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FNHCQ | FedNat Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 80.00 | |
| CNFR | Conifer Holding | 0.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 11.50 | (10.22) | 39.27 | |
| HRTG | Heritage Insurance Hldgs | (0.51) | 9 per month | 2.51 | 0.13 | 6.71 | (5.00) | 31.83 | |
| UVE | Universal Insurance Holdings | 0.40 | 7 per month | 1.33 | 0.07 | 3.60 | (2.38) | 25.90 | |
| UIHC | UIHC Old | 0.20 | 7 per month | 2.91 | 0.15 | 10.19 | (4.89) | 38.12 | |
| HCI | HCI Group | (0.63) | 10 per month | 1.35 | 0.13 | 3.19 | (2.17) | 16.73 | |
| KINS | Kingstone Companies | (0.03) | 10 per month | 1.95 | 0.21 | 7.04 | (4.13) | 21.17 | |
| HMN | Horace Mann Educators | (0.08) | 9 per month | 1.10 | 0.04 | 2.71 | (2.07) | 8.93 | |
| DGICB | Donegal Group B | (0.98) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.10 | (4.71) | 15.14 | |
| NODK | NI Holdings | 1.40 | 8 per month | 1.14 | 0.1 | 2.97 | (2.18) | 10.26 | |
| DGICA | Donegal Group A | 0.21 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.42 | (1.84) | 10.28 | |
| ARGO | Argo Group International | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.57) | 0.24 | (0.17) | 0.60 |
Hallmark Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hallmark price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hallmark using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hallmark charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Hallmark Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Hallmark Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hallmark Financial Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hallmark Financial based on analysis of Hallmark Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hallmark Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hallmark Financial's related companies. Story Coverage note for Hallmark Financial
The number of cover stories for Hallmark Financial depends on current market conditions and Hallmark Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hallmark Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hallmark Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hallmark Financial Short Properties
Hallmark Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hallmark Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hallmark Financial Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hallmark Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hallmark Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 181.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 485.7 M |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Other Consideration for investing in Hallmark Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Hallmark Financial check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Hallmark Financial's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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