Healthcare Stock Price Prediction
| HCSG Stock | USD 10.77 0.07 0.65% |
Healthcare Services stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Healthcare Services shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Healthcare Services' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Healthcare Services and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Healthcare Services' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Healthcare Services Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.283 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.18 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.66 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.81 | Wall Street Target Price 15.75 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Healthcare Services based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Healthcare stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Healthcare Services over a specific investment horizon. Using Healthcare Services hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Healthcare Services Group from the perspective of Healthcare Services response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Healthcare Services using Healthcare Services' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Healthcare using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Healthcare Services' stock price.
Healthcare Services Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Healthcare Services' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Healthcare. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Healthcare Services stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Healthcare Services may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Healthcare Services and may potentially protect profits, hedge Healthcare Services with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 13.4052 | Short Percent 0.0417 | Short Ratio 4.76 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.1 M | 50 Day MA 12.5172 |
Healthcare Services Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Healthcare Services' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Healthcare. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Healthcare can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Healthcare Services Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Healthcare Services' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Healthcare Services.
Healthcare Services Implied Volatility | 30.44 |
Healthcare Services' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Healthcare Services Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Healthcare Services' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Healthcare Services stock will not fluctuate a lot when Healthcare Services' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Healthcare Services. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Healthcare Services to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Healthcare because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Healthcare Services after-hype prediction price | USD 10.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Healthcare |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Healthcare Services' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Healthcare Services in the context of predictive analytics.
Healthcare Services After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Healthcare Services at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Healthcare Services or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Healthcare Services, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Healthcare Services Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Healthcare Services' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Healthcare Services' historical news coverage. Healthcare Services' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.40 and 13.08, respectively. We have considered Healthcare Services' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Healthcare Services is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Healthcare Services is based on 3 months time horizon.
Healthcare Services Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Healthcare Services is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Healthcare Services backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Healthcare Services, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
| 0.44 | 2.34 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
| 10.77 | 10.74 | 0.28 |
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Healthcare Services Hype Timeline
Healthcare Services is currently traded for 10.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Healthcare is projected to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 10.74. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.28% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.44%. The volatility of related hype on Healthcare Services is about 2171.13% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 10.72. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Healthcare Services was currently reported as 6.07. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.32. Healthcare Services last dividend was issued on the 17th of November 2022. The entity had 3:2 split on the 15th of November 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Healthcare Services Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Healthcare Services Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Healthcare Services' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Healthcare Services' future price movements. Getting to know how Healthcare Services rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Healthcare Services may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BV | BrightView Holdings | (0.16) | 7 per month | 1.62 | 0.1 | 3.01 | (2.70) | 11.30 | |
| FA | First Advantage Corp | 0.03 | 11 per month | 1.24 | 0.09 | 2.89 | (2.21) | 11.46 | |
| FC | Franklin Covey | 1.26 | 7 per month | 1.01 | 0.08 | 2.40 | (2.13) | 29.47 | |
| LZ | LegalZoom | (0.22) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.10 | (3.27) | 26.71 | |
| MG | Mistras Group | (0.11) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.65 | (3.94) | 26.69 | |
| SP | SP Plus Corp | (0.11) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.0418) | 2.15 | (2.00) | 8.33 | |
| WM | Waste Management | (1.68) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.0456) | 1.22 | (1.16) | 7.09 | |
| DLHC | DLH Holdings Corp | 0.35 | 3 per month | 1.74 | 0.08 | 3.77 | (2.39) | 9.54 | |
| VCIG | VCI Global Limited | (0.33) | 10 per month | 9.58 | 0.1 | 22.96 | (15.87) | 187.46 |
Healthcare Services Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Healthcare price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Healthcare using various technical indicators. When you analyze Healthcare charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Healthcare Services Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Healthcare Services stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Healthcare Services Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Healthcare Services based on analysis of Healthcare Services hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Healthcare Services's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Healthcare Services's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Calculated Tax Rate | 23.18 | 29.37 | Interest Coverage | 20.6 | 21.14 |
Story Coverage note for Healthcare Services
The number of cover stories for Healthcare Services depends on current market conditions and Healthcare Services' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Healthcare Services is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Healthcare Services' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Healthcare Services Short Properties
Healthcare Services' future price predictability will typically decrease when Healthcare Services' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Healthcare Services Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Healthcare Services' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Healthcare Services' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 74.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 121.5 M |
Check out Healthcare Services Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Complementary Tools for Healthcare Stock analysis
When running Healthcare Services' price analysis, check to measure Healthcare Services' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Healthcare Services is operating at the current time. Most of Healthcare Services' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Healthcare Services' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Healthcare Services' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Healthcare Services to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Healthcare Services' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Healthcare Services. If investors know Healthcare will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Healthcare Services listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.283 | Dividend Share 0.215 | Earnings Share 0.52 | Revenue Per Share 22.505 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.014) |
The market value of Healthcare Services is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Healthcare that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Healthcare Services' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Healthcare Services' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Healthcare Services' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Healthcare Services' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Healthcare Services' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Healthcare Services is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Healthcare Services' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.