Heico Stock Price Prediction
| HEI Stock | USD 204.75 0.07 0.03% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Heico stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Heico shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Heico's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Heico and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Heico's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Heico, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Heico's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.224 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.51 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.18 | Wall Street Target Price 212.07 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.74 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Heico based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Heico stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Heico over a specific investment horizon. Using Heico hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Heico from the perspective of Heico response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Heico using Heico's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Heico using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Heico's stock price.
Heico Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Heico's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Heico. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Heico stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Heico may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Heico and may potentially protect profits, hedge Heico with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 176.3 | Short Percent 0.0327 | Short Ratio 3.92 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.8 M | 50 Day MA 191.8354 |
Heico Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Heico's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Heico. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Heico can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Heico. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Heico's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Heico.
Heico Implied Volatility | 28.02 |
Heico's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Heico stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Heico's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Heico stock will not fluctuate a lot when Heico's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Heico. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Heico to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Heico because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Heico after-hype prediction price | USD 204.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Heico contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Heico will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.75% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Heico trading at USD 204.75, that is roughly USD 3.59 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Heico's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Heico options at the current volatility level of 28.02%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Heico |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Heico's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Heico After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Heico at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Heico or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Heico, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Heico Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Heico's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Heico's historical news coverage. Heico's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 203.56 and 206.08, respectively. We have considered Heico's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Heico is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Heico is based on 3 months time horizon.
Heico Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Heico is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Heico backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Heico, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.26 | 0.33 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
204.75 | 204.82 | 0.00 |
|
Heico Hype Timeline
On the 24th of April Heico is traded for 204.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.33, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Heico is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 63.96%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Heico is about 651.72%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 204.78. About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 3rd of January 2024. Heico had 125:100 split on the 28th of June 2018. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Heico Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Heico Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Heico's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Heico's future price movements. Getting to know how Heico's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Heico may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HEI-A | HEICO | (0.39) | 9 per month | 0.91 | 0.14 | 2.45 | (1.48) | 6.35 | |
| LHX | L3Harris Technologies | 0.95 | 10 per month | 0.88 | (0.06) | 1.67 | (1.51) | 5.06 | |
| HII | Huntington Ingalls Industries | 2.03 | 10 per month | 0.82 | 0.02 | 1.67 | (1.33) | 7.00 | |
| LMT | Lockheed Martin | (0.40) | 8 per month | 1.03 | (0.08) | 1.28 | (1.18) | 4.38 | |
| NOC | Northrop Grumman | (0.87) | 7 per month | 1.47 | (0.06) | 1.34 | (1.33) | 6.61 | |
| GD | General Dynamics | (0.16) | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1.47 | (0.82) | 6.20 |
Heico Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Heico price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Heico using various technical indicators. When you analyze Heico charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Heico Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Heico stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Heico, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Heico based on analysis of Heico hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Heico's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Heico's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001106 | 0.001259 | 0.001448 | 0.001376 | Price To Sales Ratio | 10.02 | 7.32 | 6.59 | 6.92 |
Story Coverage note for Heico
The number of cover stories for Heico depends on current market conditions and Heico's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Heico is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Heico's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
Heico Short Properties
Heico's future price predictability will typically decrease when Heico's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Heico often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Heico's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Heico's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 138.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 171 M |
Check out Heico Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Heico Stock please use our How to Invest in Heico guide.Note that the Heico information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Heico's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Complementary Tools for Heico Stock analysis
When running Heico's price analysis, check to measure Heico's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Heico is operating at the current time. Most of Heico's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Heico's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Heico's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Heico to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Fundamentals Comparison Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities | |
| Odds Of Bankruptcy Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Portfolio Dashboard Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments | |
| Latest Portfolios Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios | |
| Equity Forecasting Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum | |
| Earnings Calls Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges | |
| Technical Analysis Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data | |
| Bond Analysis Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios. | |
| AI Investment Finder Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities | |
| Competition Analyzer Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities | |
| Sync Your Broker Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors. | |
| Companies Directory Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals | |
| Correlation Analysis Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated |
Is Heico's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Heico. If investors know Heico will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Heico listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.224 | Dividend Share 0.2 | Earnings Share 3.05 | Revenue Per Share 23.574 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.444 |
The market value of Heico is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Heico that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Heico's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Heico's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Heico's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Heico's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Heico's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Heico is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Heico's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.