Highway Stock Future Price Prediction

HIHO Stock  USD 2.37  0.02  0.85%   
Highway Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Highway Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Highway Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Highway Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Highway Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Highway Holdings Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Highway Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Highway Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Highway stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Highway Holdings over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.621
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.1) 
Using Highway Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Highway Holdings Limited from the perspective of Highway Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Highway Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Highway Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Highway because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Highway Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.41  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Highway Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Highway Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.112.295.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0460342.305.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.132.292.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Highway Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Highway Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Highway Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Highway Holdings.

Highway Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Highway Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Highway Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Highway Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Highway Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Highway Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Highway Holdings' historical news coverage. Highway Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 5.50, respectively. We have considered Highway Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 2.37
2.41
After-hype Price
5.50
Upside
Highway Holdings is risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Highway Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Highway Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Highway Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Highway Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Highway Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.32  3.09  0.04    0.04  8 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.372.411.69 
2,377  

Highway Holdings Hype Timeline

Highway Holdings is currently traded for 2.37. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Highway is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 2.41 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is forecasted to be 1.69% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Highway Holdings is about 2637.8% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 2.33. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 12.37 M. Net Income was 467 K with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.77 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Please check Highway Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Highway Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Highway Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Highway Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Highway Holdings rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Highway Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Highway Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Highway price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Highway using various technical indicators. When you analyze Highway charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Highway Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Highway Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Highway Holdings Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Highway Holdings based on analysis of Highway Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Highway Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Highway Holdings's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Highway Holdings

The number of cover stories for Highway Holdings depends on current market conditions and Highway Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Highway Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Highway Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Highway Holdings Short Properties

Highway Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Highway Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Highway Holdings Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Highway Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Highway Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments7.1 M
Please check Highway Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Highway Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Highway Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

Complementary Tools for Highway Stock analysis

When running Highway Holdings price analysis, check to measure Highway Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Highway Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Highway Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Highway Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Highway Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Highway Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Highway Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Highway Holdings. If investors know Highway will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Highway Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.621
Market Capitalization
9.7 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.1) 
Return On Assets
0.032
Return On Equity
0.0673
The market value of Highway Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Highway that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Highway Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Highway Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Highway Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Highway Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Highway Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Highway Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Highway Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.