Hailiang Stock Future Price Prediction

HLG -  USA Stock  

USD 19.26  1.96  9.24%

Hailiang Edu Grp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Hailiang Edu shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Hailiang Edu's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Hailiang Edu and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Hailiang Edu's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hailiang Edu Grp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Hailiang Edu Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Hailiang Price Prediction 

 
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Hailiang Edu based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Hailiang stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Hailiang Edu over a specific investment horizon. Using Hailiang Edu hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hailiang Edu Grp from the perspective of Hailiang Edu response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Hailiang Edu Current Ratio is projected to drop slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Current Ratio was at 0.83. The current year EBITDA Margin is expected to grow to 0.44, whereas Debt to Equity Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.44.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Hailiang Edu. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hailiang Edu to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hailiang because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Hailiang Edu after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 19.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hailiang Edu's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Hailiang Edu in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
16.2518.9121.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
15.1717.8220.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.3023.1828.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hailiang Edu. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hailiang Edu's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hailiang Edu's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Hailiang Edu Grp.

Hailiang Edu After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Hailiang Edu at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hailiang Edu or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Hailiang Edu, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Hailiang Edu Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Hailiang Edu's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hailiang Edu's historical news coverage. Hailiang Edu's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.04 and 22.36, respectively. We have considered Hailiang Edu's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
19.26
1st of December 2021
19.70
After-hype Price
22.36
Upside
Hailiang Edu is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hailiang Edu Grp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Hailiang Edu Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Hailiang Edu is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hailiang Edu backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hailiang Edu, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.95  2.63  0.00   0.01  0 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
19.2619.700.00 
0.00  

Hailiang Edu Hype Timeline

On the 1st of December Hailiang Edu Grp is traded for 19.26. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Hailiang expected not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of about 0.0%. The immediate return on the next newsis expected to be very small whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.95%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Hailiang Edu is about 19725.0%. The volatility of related hype on Hailiang Edu is about 19725.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 19.27. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.28. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hailiang Edu Grp had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 3:2 split on the October 14, 2010. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expectedpress releasewill be in a few days.
Please check Hailiang Edu Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Hailiang Edu Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Hailiang Edu's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hailiang Edu's future price movements. Getting to know how Hailiang Edu rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hailiang Edu may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Hailiang Edu Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hailiang price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hailiang using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hailiang charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Hailiang Edu Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Hailiang Edu stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hailiang Edu Grp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hailiang Edu based on analysis of Hailiang Edu hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hailiang Edu's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hailiang Edu's related companies.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Book Value per Share64.0878.6385.3772.7
Asset Turnover0.470.390.450.49

Story Coverage note for Hailiang Edu

The number of cover stories for Hailiang Edu depends on current market conditions and Hailiang Edu's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hailiang Edu is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hailiang Edu's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Hailiang Edu Short Properties

Hailiang Edu's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hailiang Edu's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hailiang Edu Grp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hailiang Edu's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hailiang Edu's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.04%
Float Shares3.31M
Shares Short Prior Month9.26k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.76k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.87k
Date Short Interest28th of May 2021
Please check Hailiang Edu Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Hailiang Edu Grp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hailiang Edu's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

Complementary Tools for Hailiang Stock analysis

When running Hailiang Edu Grp price analysis, check to measure Hailiang Edu's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hailiang Edu is operating at the current time. Most of Hailiang Edu's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hailiang Edu's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hailiang Edu's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hailiang Edu to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hailiang Edu's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hailiang Edu. If investors know Hailiang will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hailiang Edu listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Hailiang Edu Grp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hailiang that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hailiang Edu's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hailiang Edu's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hailiang Edu's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hailiang Edu's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hailiang Edu's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Hailiang Edu value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hailiang Edu's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.