Herc Holdings Stock Future Price Prediction

HRI -  USA Stock  

USD 124.04  0.24  0.19%

Herc Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Herc Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Herc Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Herc Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Herc Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Herc Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Herc Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Search Price Prediction 

 
Refresh
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Herc Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Herc Holdings stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Herc Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Using Herc Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Herc Holdings from the perspective of Herc Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Herc Holdings PPandE Turnover is most likely to drop in the upcoming years. The last year's value of PPandE Turnover was reported at 0.66. The current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 6.21, while Interest Coverage is projected to decrease to 1.63.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Herc Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Herc Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Herc Holdings because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Herc Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 125.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Herc Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Herc Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
116.92119.62136.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
123.26125.95128.65
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
120.00140.00160.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
6.416.907.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Herc Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Herc Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Herc Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Herc Holdings.

Herc Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Herc Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Herc Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Herc Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Herc Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Herc Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Herc Holdings' historical news coverage. Herc Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 122.40 and 127.80, respectively. We have considered Herc Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
124.04
1st of August 2021
122.40
Downside
125.10
After-hype Price
127.80
Upside
Herc Holdings is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Herc Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Herc Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Herc Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Herc Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Herc Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.29  2.70  1.06   0.41  12 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
124.04125.100.85 
74.18  

Herc Holdings Hype Timeline

On the 1st of August Herc Holdings is traded for 124.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.06 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.41. Herc Holdings is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 125.1 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 74.18%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.85% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Herc Holdings is about 190.72% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 124.45. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.8 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 110.3 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 464.1 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projectedpress releasewill be in about 12 days.
Please check Herc Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Herc Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Herc Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Herc Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Herc Holdings rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Herc Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Herc Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Herc Holdings price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Herc Holdings using various technical indicators. When you analyze Herc Holdings charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Herc Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Herc Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Herc Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Herc Holdings based on analysis of Herc Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Herc Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Herc Holdings's related companies.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity3.923.372.382.44
Interest Coverage1.51.372.021.63

Story Coverage note for Herc Holdings

The number of cover stories for Herc Holdings depends on current market conditions and Herc Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Herc Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Herc Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Herc Holdings Short Properties

Herc Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Herc Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Herc Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Herc Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Herc Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.33%
Short Percent Of Float3.28%
Float Shares29.22M
Shares Short Prior Month545.08k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day246.66k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month251.65k
Date Short Interest15th of June 2021
Please check Herc Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Herc Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Herc Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Search module to search for activelly traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

Complementary Tools for Herc Holdings Stock analysis

When running Herc Holdings price analysis, check to measure Herc Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Herc Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Herc Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Herc Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Herc Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Herc Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Fund Screener
Find activelly-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Go
Probability Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Go
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Go
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Go
Global Correlations
Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets
Go
Equity Search
Search for activelly traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Go
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Go
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Go
The market value of Herc Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Herc Holdings that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Herc Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Herc Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Herc Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Herc Holdings underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Herc Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Herc Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Herc Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.