Horizon OTC Stock Future Price Prediction

HRRB
 Stock
  

USD 16.70  0.00  0.00%   

Horizon Bancorp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Horizon Bancorp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Horizon Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Horizon Bancorp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Horizon Bancorp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Horizon Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Horizon Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Horizon Bancorp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Horizon stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Horizon Bancorp over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.24
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.043
Using Horizon Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Horizon Bancorp from the perspective of Horizon Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Horizon Bancorp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Horizon Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Horizon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Horizon Bancorp after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 16.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Horizon Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Horizon Bancorp in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
16.1416.7617.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
16.0516.6717.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.4716.8217.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Horizon Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Horizon Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Horizon Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Horizon Bancorp.

Horizon Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Horizon Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Horizon Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Horizon Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Horizon Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Horizon Bancorp's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Horizon Bancorp's historical news coverage. Horizon Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.08 and 17.32, respectively. We have considered Horizon Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 16.70
16.70
After-hype Price
17.32
Upside
Horizon Bancorp is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Horizon Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Horizon Bancorp OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Horizon Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Horizon Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Horizon Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07  0.62  0.00    0.02  6 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.7016.700.00 
0.00  

Horizon Bancorp Hype Timeline

Horizon Bancorp is currently traded for 16.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Horizon projected not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of about 0.0%. The immediate return on the next newsis projected to be very small whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Horizon Bancorp is about 248.0%. The volatility of related hype on Horizon Bancorp is about 248.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 16.68. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.88. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Horizon Bancorp had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projectedpress releasewill be in about 6 days.
Please check Horizon Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Horizon Bancorp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Horizon Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Horizon Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Horizon Bancorp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Horizon Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
JPMJP Morgan Chase(0.25) 8 per month 0.00 (0.06)  2.98 (3.00)  10.78 

Horizon Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Horizon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Horizon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Horizon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Horizon Bancorp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Horizon Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Horizon Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Horizon Bancorp based on analysis of Horizon Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Horizon Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Horizon Bancorp's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Horizon Bancorp

The number of cover stories for Horizon Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Horizon Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Horizon Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Horizon Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Horizon Bancorp Short Properties

Horizon Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Horizon Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Horizon Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Horizon Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Horizon Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares2.82M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day362
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.18k
Please check Horizon Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Horizon Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Horizon Bancorp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

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Is Horizon Bancorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Horizon Bancorp. If investors know Horizon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Horizon Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.24
Market Capitalization
68.9 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.043
Return On Assets
0.0111
Return On Equity
0.16
The market value of Horizon Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Horizon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Horizon Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Horizon Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Horizon Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Horizon Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Horizon Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Horizon Bancorp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Horizon Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.