Hostelworld Group (Ireland) Price Prediction
| HSW Stock | EUR 1.77 0.19 9.69% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Hostelworld Group PLC stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Hostelworld Group shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Hostelworld Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Hostelworld Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Hostelworld Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hostelworld Group PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Hostelworld Group based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Hostelworld stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Hostelworld Group over a specific investment horizon. Using Hostelworld Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hostelworld Group PLC from the perspective of Hostelworld Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Hostelworld Group. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hostelworld Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hostelworld because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Hostelworld Group after-hype prediction price | EUR 1.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hostelworld |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hostelworld Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hostelworld Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hostelworld Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hostelworld Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hostelworld Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hostelworld Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hostelworld Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hostelworld Group's historical news coverage. Hostelworld Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 4.80, respectively. We have considered Hostelworld Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hostelworld Group is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hostelworld Group PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hostelworld Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hostelworld Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hostelworld Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hostelworld Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 3.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.77 | 1.77 | 0.00 |
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Hostelworld Group Hype Timeline
Hostelworld Group PLC is currently traded for 1.77on Irish Exchange of Ireland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Hostelworld is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hostelworld Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.77. About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Hostelworld Group was currently reported as 0.46. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.31. Hostelworld Group PLC last dividend was issued on the 16th of April 2020. The entity had 71:70 split on the 18th of September 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Hostelworld Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Hostelworld Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hostelworld Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hostelworld Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Hostelworld Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hostelworld Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DHG | Dalata Hotel Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.42 | (3.05) | 9.98 | |
| C5H | Cairn Homes PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.18 | 0.06 | 2.56 | (2.44) | 8.61 | |
| IR5B | Irish Continental Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.43 | 0.04 | 2.66 | (2.16) | 7.89 | |
| A5G | AIB Group PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.59 | 0.18 | 3.56 | (3.40) | 9.41 |
Hostelworld Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hostelworld price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hostelworld using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hostelworld charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Hostelworld Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Hostelworld Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hostelworld Group PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hostelworld Group based on analysis of Hostelworld Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hostelworld Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hostelworld Group's related companies. Story Coverage note for Hostelworld Group
The number of cover stories for Hostelworld Group depends on current market conditions and Hostelworld Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hostelworld Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hostelworld Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hostelworld Group Short Properties
Hostelworld Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hostelworld Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hostelworld Group PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hostelworld Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hostelworld Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 106.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 24.5 M |
Check out Hostelworld Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
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When running Hostelworld Group's price analysis, check to measure Hostelworld Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hostelworld Group is operating at the current time. Most of Hostelworld Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hostelworld Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hostelworld Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hostelworld Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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