Hubbell Stock Price Prediction
| HUBB Stock | USD 398.00 7.44 1.90% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Hubbell stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Hubbell shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Hubbell's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Hubbell and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Hubbell's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hubbell, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Hubbell's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.633 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.79 | EPS Estimate Current Year 16.42 | EPS Estimate Next Year 17.61 | Wall Street Target Price 403.72 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Hubbell based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Hubbell stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Hubbell over a specific investment horizon. Using Hubbell hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hubbell from the perspective of Hubbell response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hubbell using Hubbell's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hubbell using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hubbell's stock price.
Hubbell Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Hubbell's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Hubbell. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Hubbell stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Hubbell may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Hubbell and may potentially protect profits, hedge Hubbell with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 333.8785 | Short Percent 0.0264 | Short Ratio 3.15 | Shares Short Prior Month 943.4 K | 50 Day MA 394.056 |
Hubbell Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Hubbell's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Hubbell. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hubbell can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Hubbell. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Hubbell's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Hubbell.
Hubbell Implied Volatility | 37.41 |
Hubbell's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hubbell stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hubbell's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hubbell stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hubbell's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Hubbell. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hubbell to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hubbell because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Hubbell after-hype prediction price | USD 393.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Hubbell contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Hubbell will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.34% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Hubbell trading at USD 398.0, that is roughly USD 9.31 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Hubbell's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Hubbell options at the current volatility level of 37.41%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Hubbell |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hubbell's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hubbell After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hubbell at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hubbell or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hubbell, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hubbell Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hubbell's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hubbell's historical news coverage. Hubbell's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 391.82 and 437.80, respectively. We have considered Hubbell's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hubbell is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hubbell is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hubbell Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hubbell is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hubbell backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hubbell, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 1.43 | 4.75 | 0.12 | 11 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
398.00 | 393.25 | 1.19 |
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Hubbell Hype Timeline
Hubbell is currently traded for 398.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -4.75, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.12. Hubbell is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 393.25. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 9.63%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.19%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Hubbell is about 369.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 397.88. About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.45. Hubbell recorded earning per share (EPS) of 14.07. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of February 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 12th of August 1996. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Hubbell Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Hubbell Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hubbell's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hubbell's future price movements. Getting to know how Hubbell's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hubbell may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KE | Kimball Electronics | (0.47) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.02 | (3.47) | 18.10 | |
| HOLI | Hollysys Automation Technologies | 0.33 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 0.99 | (1.52) | 3.99 | |
| HAYW | Hayward Holdings | 0.24 | 7 per month | 1.87 | 0.02 | 3.53 | (3.11) | 17.37 | |
| NVT | nVent Electric PLC | 1.51 | 9 per month | 1.06 | 0.18 | 3.41 | (1.89) | 8.03 | |
| ENR | Energizer Holdings | (0.58) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.12 | (2.52) | 9.08 | |
| PLPC | Preformed Line Products | (3.17) | 6 per month | 2.49 | (0.03) | 4.18 | (3.76) | 12.24 | |
| AEIS | Advanced Energy Industries | (0.57) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.23 | (3.72) | 9.16 |
Hubbell Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hubbell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hubbell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hubbell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Hubbell Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Hubbell stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hubbell, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hubbell based on analysis of Hubbell hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hubbell's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hubbell's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0192 | 0.0182 | 0.0139 | 0.0132 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.7 | 2.55 | 3.28 | 3.45 |
Story Coverage note for Hubbell
The number of cover stories for Hubbell depends on current market conditions and Hubbell's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hubbell is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hubbell's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hubbell Short Properties
Hubbell's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hubbell's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hubbell often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hubbell's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hubbell's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 348.7 M |
Check out Hubbell Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Hubbell Stock refer to our How to Trade Hubbell Stock guide.Note that the Hubbell information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hubbell's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Complementary Tools for Hubbell Stock analysis
When running Hubbell's price analysis, check to measure Hubbell's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hubbell is operating at the current time. Most of Hubbell's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hubbell's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hubbell's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hubbell to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hubbell's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hubbell. If investors know Hubbell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hubbell listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.633 | Dividend Share 4.58 | Earnings Share 14.07 | Revenue Per Share 100.241 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.103 |
The market value of Hubbell is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hubbell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hubbell's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hubbell's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hubbell's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hubbell's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hubbell's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hubbell is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hubbell's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.