Hycroft Stock Future Price Prediction

HYMC -  USA Stock  

USD 0.46  0.01  2.13%

Hycroft Mining Holding stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Hycroft Mining shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Hycroft Mining's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Hycroft Mining and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Hycroft Mining's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hycroft Mining Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Hycroft Mining Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Hycroft Price Prediction 

 
Refresh
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Hycroft Mining based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Hycroft stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Hycroft Mining over a specific investment horizon. Using Hycroft Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hycroft Mining Holding from the perspective of Hycroft Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hycroft Mining using Hycroft Mining's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hycroft using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hycroft Mining's stock price.
Hycroft Mining Book Value per Share is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Book Value per Share was at 0.55. The current year Current Ratio is expected to grow to 6.41, whereas Earnings per Basic Share are forecasted to decline to (4.86) .

Hycroft Mining Implied Volatility

    
  477.83  
Hycroft Mining's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hycroft Mining Holding stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hycroft Mining's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hycroft Mining stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hycroft Mining's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Hycroft Mining. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hycroft Mining to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hycroft because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Hycroft Mining after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 0.46  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hycroft Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Hycroft Mining in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.020.446.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0123570.626.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.420.480.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hycroft Mining. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hycroft Mining's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hycroft Mining's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Hycroft Mining Holding.

Hycroft Mining After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Hycroft Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hycroft Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Hycroft Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Hycroft Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Hycroft Mining's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hycroft Mining's historical news coverage. Hycroft Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 6.76, respectively. We have considered Hycroft Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.46
24th of January 2022
0.46
After-hype Price
6.76
Upside
Hycroft Mining is out of control asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hycroft Mining Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.

Hycroft Mining Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Hycroft Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hycroft Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hycroft Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 1.99  6.30  0.00   0.09  3 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.460.460.00 
0.00  

Hycroft Mining Hype Timeline

Hycroft Mining Holding is currently traded for 0.46. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.09. Hycroft expected not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of about 0.0%. The immediate return on the next newsis expected to be very small whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.99%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Hycroft Mining is about 14175.0%. The volatility of related hype on Hycroft Mining is about 14175.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 0.55. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.97. Hycroft Mining Holding had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expectedpress releasewill be in about 3 days.
Please check Hycroft Mining Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Hycroft Mining Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Hycroft Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hycroft Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Hycroft Mining rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hycroft Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BVN
Compania Mina Buenaventura 0.36 3 per month 2.43  0.06  5.20 (4.79)  10.12 
MMX
Maverix Metals(0.02) 5 per month 0.00 (0.0166)  3.98 (3.98)  13.58 
MTA
Metalla Royalty And(0.11) 3 per month 0.00 (0.0263)  5.79 (4.28)  14.41 
MUX
Mcewen Mining 0.01 5 per month 0.00 (0.1)  3.41 (3.41)  9.43 
GATO
Gatos Silver 0.11 7 per month 0.00 (0.0355)  5.19 (5.50)  20.00 
GROY
Gold Royalty Corp 0.04 5 per month 0.00 (0.08)  3.63 (4.37)  13.01 
MOU
Mountain Province Diamonds 0.07 3 per month 3.18  0.18  11.36 (5.45)  21.56 
AUMN
Golden Minerals(0.02) 10 per month 0.00 (0.0332)  6.06 (5.71)  17.62 
AXU
Alexco Resource Corp(0.04) 6 per month 0.00  0.0119  7.50 (5.98)  18.60 

Hycroft Mining Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hycroft price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hycroft using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hycroft charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Hycroft Mining Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Hycroft Mining stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hycroft Mining Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hycroft Mining based on analysis of Hycroft Mining hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hycroft Mining's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hycroft Mining's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Hycroft Mining

The number of cover stories for Hycroft Mining depends on current market conditions and Hycroft Mining's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hycroft Mining is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hycroft Mining's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Hycroft Mining Short Properties

Hycroft Mining's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hycroft Mining's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hycroft Mining Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hycroft Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hycroft Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.10%
Short Percent Of Float154.47%
Float Shares15.91M
Shares Short Prior Month1.92M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day168.45k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month342.96k
Date Short Interest15th of December 2021
Please check Hycroft Mining Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Hycroft Mining Holding information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hycroft Mining's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Complementary Tools for Hycroft Stock analysis

When running Hycroft Mining Holding price analysis, check to measure Hycroft Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hycroft Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Hycroft Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hycroft Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hycroft Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hycroft Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Go
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Go
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Go
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Go
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Go
Is Hycroft Mining's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hycroft Mining. If investors know Hycroft will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hycroft Mining listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Hycroft Mining Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hycroft that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hycroft Mining's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hycroft Mining's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hycroft Mining's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hycroft Mining's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hycroft Mining's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Hycroft Mining value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hycroft Mining's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.