Ibex Stock Price Prediction
| IBEX Stock | USD 13.31 0.11 0.82% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
33
Oversold | Overbought |
IBEX stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of IBEX shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of IBEX's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of IBEX and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from IBEX's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with IBEX, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting IBEX's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.58 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.94 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.24 | Wall Street Target Price 19.5 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of IBEX based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The IBEX stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on IBEX over a specific investment horizon. Using IBEX hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of IBEX from the perspective of IBEX response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in IBEX. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in IBEX to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying IBEX because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
IBEX after-hype prediction price | USD 13.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
IBEX |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IBEX's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
IBEX After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of IBEX at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IBEX or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of IBEX, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
IBEX Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting IBEX's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IBEX's historical news coverage. IBEX's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.49 and 15.81, respectively. We have considered IBEX's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
IBEX is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of IBEX is based on 3 months time horizon.
IBEX Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as IBEX is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IBEX backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IBEX, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.48 | 2.67 | 0.17 | 0.98 | 11 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.31 | 13.15 | 1.20 |
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IBEX Hype Timeline
IBEX is currently traded for 13.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.98. IBEX is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 13.15. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.2%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.48%. The volatility of related hype on IBEX is about 130.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.33. About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.59. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. IBEX had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out IBEX Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.IBEX Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to IBEX's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IBEX's future price movements. Getting to know how IBEX's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IBEX may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CACI | CACI International | (3.08) | 11 per month | 0.76 | 0.11 | 1.81 | (1.47) | 4.36 | |
| CDW | CDW Corp | 0.16 | 9 per month | 0.90 | 0 | 1.64 | (1.52) | 5.82 | |
| JKHY | Jack Henry Associates | (3.54) | 12 per month | 1.07 | (0.07) | 1.53 | (1.88) | 5.66 | |
| BR | Broadridge Financial Solutions | (2.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.39 | (1.77) | 3.87 | |
| FIS | Fidelity National Information | (1.65) | 9 per month | 0.86 | 0.15 | 2.30 | (1.74) | 7.15 | |
| LDOS | Leidos Holdings | (2.13) | 8 per month | 0.27 | 0.15 | 1.34 | (1.13) | 7.52 |
IBEX Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine IBEX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IBEX using various technical indicators. When you analyze IBEX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About IBEX Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of IBEX stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as IBEX, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of IBEX based on analysis of IBEX hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to IBEX's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to IBEX's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 1.14E-4 | 0.00611 | 0.007102 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.62 | 0.85 | 0.83 |
Story Coverage note for IBEX
The number of cover stories for IBEX depends on current market conditions and IBEX's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IBEX is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IBEX's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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IBEX Short Properties
IBEX's future price predictability will typically decrease when IBEX's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of IBEX often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential IBEX's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IBEX's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 57.4 M |
Check out IBEX Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy IBEX Stock please use our How to Invest in IBEX guide.Note that the IBEX information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other IBEX's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Complementary Tools for IBEX Stock analysis
When running IBEX's price analysis, check to measure IBEX's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IBEX is operating at the current time. Most of IBEX's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IBEX's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IBEX's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IBEX to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is IBEX's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of IBEX. If investors know IBEX will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about IBEX listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | Earnings Share 1.55 | Revenue Per Share 28.254 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets 0.078 |
The market value of IBEX is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IBEX that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IBEX's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IBEX's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IBEX's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IBEX's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IBEX's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IBEX is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IBEX's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.