Installed Building Products Stock Price Prediction
| IBP Stock | USD 224.59 0.24 0.11% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
64
Oversold | Overbought |
Installed Building stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Installed Building shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Installed Building's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Installed Building and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Installed Building's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Installed Building Products, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Installed Building's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.2 | EPS Estimate Current Year 11.76 | EPS Estimate Next Year 12.91 | Wall Street Target Price 251.1 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Installed Building based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Installed stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Installed Building over a specific investment horizon. Using Installed Building hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Installed Building Products from the perspective of Installed Building response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Installed Building using Installed Building's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Installed using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Installed Building's stock price.
Installed Building Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Installed Building's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Installed. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Installed Building stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Installed Building may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Installed Building and may potentially protect profits, hedge Installed Building with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 170.4938 | Short Percent 0.0557 | Short Ratio 4.26 | Shares Short Prior Month 1 M | 50 Day MA 235.9826 |
Installed Building Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Installed Building's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Installed. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Installed can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Installed Building Products. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Installed Building's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Installed Building.
Installed Building Implied Volatility | 98.75 |
Installed Building's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Installed Building Products stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Installed Building's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Installed Building stock will not fluctuate a lot when Installed Building's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Installed Building. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Installed Building to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Installed because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Installed Building after-hype prediction price | USD 224.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Installed contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Installed Building Products will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 6.17% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Installed Building trading at USD 224.59, that is roughly USD 13.86 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Installed Building's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Installed Building Products options at the current volatility level of 98.75%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Installed |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Installed Building's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Installed Building After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Installed Building at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Installed Building or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Installed Building, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Installed Building Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Installed Building's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Installed Building's historical news coverage. Installed Building's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 221.71 and 226.75, respectively. We have considered Installed Building's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Installed Building is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Installed Building is based on 3 months time horizon.
Installed Building Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Installed Building is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Installed Building backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Installed Building, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 2.52 | 0.36 | 0.25 | 12 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
224.59 | 224.23 | 0.16 |
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Installed Building Hype Timeline
On the 19th of April Installed Building is traded for 224.59. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.36, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.25. Installed is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 224.23. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 166.89%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Installed Building is about 243.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 224.34. About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.2. Installed Building recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.62. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Installed Building Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Installed Building Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Installed Building's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Installed Building's future price movements. Getting to know how Installed Building's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Installed Building may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CCS | Century Communities | (3.50) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.53 | (5.45) | 14.39 | |
| MHO | MI Homes | 0.29 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.30 | (5.54) | 10.93 | |
| TMHC | Taylor Morn Home | (1.09) | 9 per month | 2.23 | 0.02 | 3.48 | (4.37) | 10.17 | |
| TPH | TRI Pointe Homes | 0.01 | 11 per month | 2.14 | (0.02) | 3.07 | (3.92) | 8.93 | |
| BZH | Beazer Homes USA | (0.19) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.65 | (5.59) | 14.15 | |
| LGIH | LGI Homes | (1.66) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.30 | (5.68) | 14.92 | |
| MTH | Meritage | 2.76 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.44 | (5.23) | 9.80 | |
| SKY | Skyline | 1.65 | 11 per month | 2.65 | 0.04 | 3.43 | (5.64) | 18.39 | |
| LEGH | Legacy Housing Corp | (0.13) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.60 | (3.95) | 18.92 | |
| CVCO | Cavco Industries | (8.49) | 8 per month | 2.20 | 0.06 | 3.09 | (3.77) | 9.74 |
Installed Building Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Installed price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Installed using various technical indicators. When you analyze Installed charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Installed Building Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Installed Building stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Installed Building Products, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Installed Building based on analysis of Installed Building hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Installed Building's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Installed Building's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0255 | 0.0123 | 0.0116 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.92 | 1.85 | 1.13 |
Story Coverage note for Installed Building
The number of cover stories for Installed Building depends on current market conditions and Installed Building's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Installed Building is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Installed Building's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Installed Building Short Properties
Installed Building's future price predictability will typically decrease when Installed Building's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Installed Building Products often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Installed Building's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Installed Building's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 386.5 M |
Check out Installed Building Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Installed Building information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Installed Building's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Installed Stock analysis
When running Installed Building's price analysis, check to measure Installed Building's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Installed Building is operating at the current time. Most of Installed Building's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Installed Building's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Installed Building's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Installed Building to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Installed Building's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Installed Building. If investors know Installed will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Installed Building listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | Dividend Share 1.32 | Earnings Share 8.62 | Revenue Per Share 98.666 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.05 |
The market value of Installed Building is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Installed that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Installed Building's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Installed Building's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Installed Building's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Installed Building's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Installed Building's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Installed Building is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Installed Building's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.