Independence Contract Drilling Stock Price Prediction
| ICD Stock | USD 1.91 0.01 0.53% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Independence Contract stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Independence Contract shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Independence Contract's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Independence Contract and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Independence Contract's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Independence Contract Drilling, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Independence Contract's stock price prediction:EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.19) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.66) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.90) | Wall Street Target Price 4.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.28) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Independence Contract based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Independence stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Independence Contract over a specific investment horizon. Using Independence Contract hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Independence Contract Drilling from the perspective of Independence Contract response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Independence Contract using Independence Contract's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Independence using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Independence Contract's stock price.
Independence Contract Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Independence Contract's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Independence Contract Drilling stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Independence Contract's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Independence Contract stock will not fluctuate a lot when Independence Contract's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Independence Contract. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Independence Contract to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Independence because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Independence Contract after-hype prediction price | USD 1.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Independence |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Independence Contract's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Independence Contract After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Independence Contract at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Independence Contract or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Independence Contract, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Independence Contract Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Independence Contract's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Independence Contract's historical news coverage. Independence Contract's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 4.98, respectively. We have considered Independence Contract's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Independence Contract is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Independence Contract is based on 3 months time horizon.
Independence Contract Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Independence Contract is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Independence Contract backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Independence Contract, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 3.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.91 | 1.91 | 0.00 |
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Independence Contract Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of April Independence Contract is traded for 1.91. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Independence is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Independence Contract is about 9029.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.91. About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.17. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Independence Contract recorded a loss per share of 2.69. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of March 2020. The firm had 1:20 split on the 12th of March 2020. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Independence Contract Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Independence Contract Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Independence Contract's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Independence Contract's future price movements. Getting to know how Independence Contract's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Independence Contract may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FET | Forum Energy Technologies | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.13 | (3.54) | 17.03 | |
| KLXE | KLX Energy Services | (0.19) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.04 | (6.05) | 19.27 | |
| TUSK | Mammoth Energy Services | (0.11) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.00 | (5.15) | 17.31 | |
| BORR | Borr Drilling | 0.16 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.69 | (6.87) | 17.00 | |
| SDPI | Superior Drilling Products | 0.01 | 7 per month | 1.82 | 0.15 | 6.00 | (3.26) | 34.69 |
Independence Contract Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Independence price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Independence using various technical indicators. When you analyze Independence charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Independence Contract Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Independence Contract stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Independence Contract Drilling, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Independence Contract based on analysis of Independence Contract hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Independence Contract's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Independence Contract's related companies. | 2020 | 2021 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 1.46 | 0.28 | 0.32 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.17 | 0.26 | 0.16 |
Story Coverage note for Independence Contract
The number of cover stories for Independence Contract depends on current market conditions and Independence Contract's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Independence Contract is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Independence Contract's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Independence Contract Short Properties
Independence Contract's future price predictability will typically decrease when Independence Contract's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Independence Contract Drilling often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Independence Contract's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Independence Contract's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.6 M |
Check out Independence Contract Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Independence Contract information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Independence Contract's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Complementary Tools for Independence Stock analysis
When running Independence Contract's price analysis, check to measure Independence Contract's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Independence Contract is operating at the current time. Most of Independence Contract's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Independence Contract's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Independence Contract's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Independence Contract to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Independence Contract's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Independence Contract. If investors know Independence will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Independence Contract listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.69) | Revenue Per Share 14.995 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.24) | Return On Assets 0.017 | Return On Equity (0.19) |
The market value of Independence Contract is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Independence that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Independence Contract's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Independence Contract's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Independence Contract's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Independence Contract's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Independence Contract's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Independence Contract is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Independence Contract's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.