Ideanomics Stock Price Prediction
| IDEX Stock | USD 0.83 0.07 7.78% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Ideanomics stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Ideanomics shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Ideanomics' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ideanomics and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ideanomics' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ideanomics, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ideanomics' stock price prediction:Wall Street Target Price 1 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.92) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Ideanomics based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Ideanomics stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ideanomics over a specific investment horizon. Using Ideanomics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ideanomics from the perspective of Ideanomics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ideanomics using Ideanomics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ideanomics using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ideanomics' stock price.
Ideanomics Implied Volatility | 455.94 |
Ideanomics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ideanomics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ideanomics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ideanomics stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ideanomics' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Ideanomics. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ideanomics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ideanomics because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ideanomics after-hype prediction price | USD 0.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ideanomics |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ideanomics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ideanomics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ideanomics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ideanomics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ideanomics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ideanomics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ideanomics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ideanomics' historical news coverage. Ideanomics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 9.99, respectively. We have considered Ideanomics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ideanomics is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ideanomics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ideanomics Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ideanomics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ideanomics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ideanomics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 9.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.83 | 0.90 | 0.00 |
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Ideanomics Hype Timeline
Ideanomics is currently traded for 0.83. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ideanomics is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ideanomics is about 2398.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.83. About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.65. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ideanomics recorded a loss per share of 55.95. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:125 split on the 25th of August 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Ideanomics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ideanomics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ideanomics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ideanomics' future price movements. Getting to know how Ideanomics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ideanomics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DE | Deere Company | (2.25) | 10 per month | 1.47 | 0 | 2.12 | (1.75) | 7.35 | |
| CAT | Caterpillar | (0.65) | 6 per month | 1.10 | 0.20 | 2.46 | (1.77) | 6.20 | |
| LEV | Lion Electric Corp | (0.07) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 3.85 | (5.13) | 16.72 | |
| XOS | Xos Inc | 0.21 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.80 | (7.52) | 40.70 | |
| NKLA | NikolaCorp | 0.01 | 10 per month | 5.94 | 0.03 | 12.12 | (7.50) | 40.82 | |
| WNC | Wabash National | (0.55) | 11 per month | 2.05 | 0.02 | 4.28 | (3.36) | 9.60 | |
| HYFM | Hydrofarm Holdings GroupInc | 0.07 | 8 per month | 3.39 | (0.01) | 6.38 | (7.00) | 24.39 | |
| HIPH | American Premium Water | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TWI | Titan International | (0.43) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.72 | (3.55) | 14.33 | |
| UGRO | Urban Gro | (0.13) | 7 per month | 7.32 | 0.03 | 13.07 | (11.11) | 40.77 |
Ideanomics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ideanomics price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ideanomics using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ideanomics charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ideanomics Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ideanomics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ideanomics, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ideanomics based on analysis of Ideanomics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ideanomics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ideanomics's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001024 | 0.001178 | 0.001119 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.81 | 0.93 | 0.89 |
Story Coverage note for Ideanomics
The number of cover stories for Ideanomics depends on current market conditions and Ideanomics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ideanomics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ideanomics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ideanomics Short Properties
Ideanomics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Ideanomics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ideanomics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ideanomics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ideanomics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 269.9 M |
Check out Ideanomics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Ideanomics Stock please use our How to Invest in Ideanomics guide.Note that the Ideanomics information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ideanomics' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Complementary Tools for Ideanomics Stock analysis
When running Ideanomics' price analysis, check to measure Ideanomics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ideanomics is operating at the current time. Most of Ideanomics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ideanomics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ideanomics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ideanomics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ideanomics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ideanomics. If investors know Ideanomics will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ideanomics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (55.95) | Revenue Per Share 11.571 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.92) | Return On Assets (0.35) | Return On Equity (2.34) |
The market value of Ideanomics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ideanomics that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ideanomics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ideanomics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ideanomics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ideanomics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ideanomics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ideanomics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ideanomics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.