International Stock Future Price Prediction

IGIC
 Stock
  

USD 7.82  0.03  0.38%   

International General stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of International General shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of International General's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of International General and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from International General's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with International General Insurance, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please see International General Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of International General based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The International stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on International General over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.2
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.36
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.04
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.52
Wall Street Target Price
10.0
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.25
Using International General hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of International General Insurance from the perspective of International General response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards International General using International General's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards International using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of International General's stock price.

International General Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
International General's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of International General Insurance stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if International General's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that International General stock will not fluctuate a lot when International General's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in International General. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in International General to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying International because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

International General after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 7.82  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of International General's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of International General in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
7.088.7310.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
6.217.879.52
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
11.0011.0011.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.597.737.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as International General. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against International General's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, International General's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in International General.

International General After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of International General at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in International General or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of International General, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

International General Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting International General's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on International General's historical news coverage. International General's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.17 and 9.47, respectively. We have considered International General's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 7.82
7.82
After-hype Price
9.47
Upside
International General is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of International General is based on 3 months time horizon.

International General Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as International General is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading International General backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with International General, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.03  1.65  0.00    13.67  5 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.827.820.00 
1,179  

International General Hype Timeline

International General is currently traded for 7.82. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -13.67. International forecasted not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis forecasted to be very small whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to International General is about 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on International General is about 0.36% with expected price after next announcement by competition of -5.85. About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.97. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. International General last dividend was issued on the 2nd of September 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days.
Please see International General Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

International General Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to International General's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict International General's future price movements. Getting to know how International General rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how International General may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

International General Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine International price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for International using various technical indicators. When you analyze International charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About International General Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of International General stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as International General Insurance, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of International General based on analysis of International General hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to International General's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to International General's related companies.

Story Coverage note for International General

The number of cover stories for International General depends on current market conditions and International General's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that International General is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about International General's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Contributor Headline

Latest Perspective on International General

International General Short Properties

International General's future price predictability will typically decrease when International General's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of International General Insurance often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential International General's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. International General's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.25%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.24
Short Percent Of Float2.65%
Float Shares21.94M
Shares Short Prior Month615.73k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day78.93k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month26.02k
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.07%
Please see International General Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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When running International General price analysis, check to measure International General's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy International General is operating at the current time. Most of International General's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of International General's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move International General's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of International General to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is International General's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of International General. If investors know International will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about International General listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.2
Market Capitalization
387.1 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.072
Return On Assets
0.039
Return On Equity
0.17
The market value of International General is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of International that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of International General's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is International General's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because International General's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect International General's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between International General's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine International General value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, International General's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.