Impac Mortgage Holdings Price Prediction

IMHDelisted Stock  USD 0.06  0.01  9.23%   
As of 19th of April 2024, the value of RSI of Impac Mortgage's share price is approaching 36. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Impac Mortgage, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

36

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Impac Mortgage Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Impac Mortgage shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Impac Mortgage's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Impac Mortgage and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Impac Mortgage's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Impac Mortgage Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether delisted stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Impac Mortgage based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Impac stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Impac Mortgage over a specific investment horizon. Using Impac Mortgage hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Impac Mortgage Holdings from the perspective of Impac Mortgage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Impac Mortgage. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Impac Mortgage to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Impac because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Impac Mortgage after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.06  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Impac Mortgage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.050.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.080.080.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.050.060.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Impac Mortgage. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Impac Mortgage's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Impac Mortgage's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Impac Mortgage Holdings.

Impac Mortgage After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Impac Mortgage at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Impac Mortgage or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Impac Mortgage, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Impac Mortgage Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Impac Mortgage's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Impac Mortgage's historical news coverage. Impac Mortgage's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 0.06, respectively. We have considered Impac Mortgage's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.06
0.06
After-hype Price
0.06
Upside
Impac Mortgage is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Impac Mortgage Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Impac Mortgage Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Impac Mortgage is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Impac Mortgage backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Impac Mortgage, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
4 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.06
0.06
8.89 
0.00  
Notes

Impac Mortgage Hype Timeline

On the 19th of April Impac Mortgage Holdings is traded for 0.06. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Impac is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.06 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price growth on the next news is estimated to be 8.89%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on Impac Mortgage is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.06. The company has Return on Asset of (0.0379) % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it lost $0.0379. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of (39.7704) %, meaning that it generated no profit with money invested by stockholders. Impac Mortgage's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Impac Mortgage manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Impac Mortgage Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Impac Mortgage's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Impac Mortgage's future price movements. Getting to know how Impac Mortgage's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Impac Mortgage may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CNFCNFinance Holdings(0.01)8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.08 (3.35) 28.01 
OCNOcwen Financial(0.28)9 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.92 (3.41) 14.74 
GHLDGuild HoldingsCo(0.95)6 per month 2.18 (0.02) 4.59 (3.65) 11.53 
PFSIPennyMac Finl Svcs(1.66)12 per month 1.88  0.01  2.79 (2.64) 11.66 
HMPTHome Point Capital 0.00 7 per month 1.14  0.11  4.37 (1.06) 19.28 
FNMAJFederal National Mortgage 0.00 0 per month 2.75  0.07  5.67 (4.17) 14.69 
FNMAGFederal National Mortgage 0.00 0 per month 1.90  0.06  6.33 (4.80) 18.51 
FNMAOFederal National Mortgage 0.00 0 per month 3.49  0.07  8.30 (7.04) 20.21 
FNMALFederal National Mortgage 0.00 0 per month 1.95  0.03  4.76 (4.07) 16.77 
FMCCMFederal Home Loan 0.00 0 per month 3.34  0.10  8.77 (6.81) 20.59 
FNMASFederal National Mortgage 0.00 0 per month 2.35  0.08  6.01 (5.15) 14.39 
FMCKOFederal Home Loan 0.00 0 per month 1.53  0.14  3.54 (4.00) 17.72 
FMCKIFederal Hme 655 0.00 0 per month 2.34  0.08  7.94 (4.22) 18.28 
FNMAPFederal National Mortgage 0.00 0 per month 3.47  0.03  8.70 (7.18) 25.29 
ECPGEncore Capital Group(0.81)10 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.83 (4.22) 13.16 

Impac Mortgage Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Impac price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Impac using various technical indicators. When you analyze Impac charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Impac Mortgage Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Impac Mortgage stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Impac Mortgage Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Impac Mortgage based on analysis of Impac Mortgage hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Impac Mortgage's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Impac Mortgage's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Impac Mortgage

The number of cover stories for Impac Mortgage depends on current market conditions and Impac Mortgage's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Impac Mortgage is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Impac Mortgage's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Impac Mortgage Short Properties

Impac Mortgage's future price predictability will typically decrease when Impac Mortgage's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Impac Mortgage Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Impac Mortgage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Impac Mortgage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments25.9 M
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

Other Consideration for investing in Impac Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Impac Mortgage Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Impac Mortgage's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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