Intel Stock Future Price Prediction

INTC
 Stock
  

USD 29.17  0.24  0.82%   

Intel stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Intel shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Intel's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Intel and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Intel's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Intel, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please see Intel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Intel based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Intel stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Intel over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.85) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.66
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.96
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.88
Wall Street Target Price
31.53
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.32
Using Intel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Intel from the perspective of Intel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Intel using Intel's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Intel using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Intel's stock price.
Intel Calculated Tax Rate is projected to drop slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Calculated Tax Rate was at 20.19. The current year PPandE Turnover is expected to grow to 1.95, whereas Long Term Debt to Equity is forecasted to decline to 0.28.

Intel Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Intel's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Intel. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Intel stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Intel may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Intel and may potentially protect profits, hedge Intel with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
37.65
Short Percent
0.0167
Short Ratio
1.51
Shares Short Prior Month
71.7 M
50 Day MA
27.83
Shares Short
68.8 M

Intel Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Intel's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Intel. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Intel can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Intel. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Intel's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Intel.

Intel Implied Volatility

    
  33.76  
Intel's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Intel stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Intel's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Intel stock will not fluctuate a lot when Intel's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Intel. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Intel to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Intel because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Intel after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 29.08  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Intel contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Intel will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.11% per day over the life of the 2022-12-09 option contract. With Intel trading at USD29.17, that is roughly USD0.62. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Intel's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Intel options at the current volatility level of 33.76%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Intel in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
26.1636.2339.04
Details
27 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
45.0058.2985.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (14)
LowProjected EPSHigh
5.275.285.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Intel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Intel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Intel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Intel.

Intel After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Intel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Intel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Intel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Intel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Intel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Intel's historical news coverage. Intel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.27 and 31.89, respectively. We have considered Intel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 29.17
29.08
After-hype Price
31.89
Upside
Intel is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intel is based on 3 months time horizon.

Intel Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Intel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Intel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Intel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  2.81  0.00   0.00  8 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
29.1729.080.03 
209.70  

Intel Hype Timeline

Intel is currently traded for 29.17. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Intel is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 29.08 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.03% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on Intel is about 2554.55% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 29.17. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 79.02 B. Net Income was 19.87 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 43.81 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days.
Please see Intel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Intel Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Intel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Intel's future price movements. Getting to know how Intel rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Intel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ASYSAmtech Systems 0.11 3 per month 0.00 (0.08)  6.47 (5.57)  24.86 

Intel Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Intel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Intel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Intel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Intel Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Intel stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Intel, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Intel based on analysis of Intel hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Intel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Intel's related companies.
 2016 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.310.28
Interest Coverage29.029.76

Story Coverage note for Intel

The number of cover stories for Intel depends on current market conditions and Intel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Intel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Intel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Intel Short Properties

Intel's future price predictability will typically decrease when Intel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Intel often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Intel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4090000000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments28413000000.00
Please see Intel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Intel price analysis, check to measure Intel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intel is operating at the current time. Most of Intel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Go
ETF Directory
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Go
CEO Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Go
Bond Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Go
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Go
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
Go
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Go
Is Intel's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intel. If investors know Intel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Intel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.85) 
Market Capitalization
121.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.20) 
Return On Assets
0.0293
Return On Equity
0.14
The market value of Intel is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Intel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Intel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Intel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Intel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Intel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Intel value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.