Jack In Stock Future Price Prediction

JACK Stock  USD 74.86  0.12  0.16%   
Jack In stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Jack In shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Jack In's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Jack In and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Jack In's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Jack In, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please see Jack In Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Jack In based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Jack In stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Jack In over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.203
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.03
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.49
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.32
Wall Street Target Price
82.22
Using Jack In hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jack In from the perspective of Jack In response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Jack In using Jack In's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Jack In using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Jack In's stock price.
Jack In Receivables Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The last year's value of Receivables Turnover was reported at 16.65. The current Inventory Turnover is estimated to increase to 128.55, while Cash and Equivalents Turnover is projected to decrease to 162.97.

Jack In Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Jack In's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Jack In. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Jack In stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Jack In may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Jack In and may potentially protect profits, hedge Jack In with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
75.6045
Short Percent
0.0811
Short Ratio
4.37
Shares Short Prior Month
1.5 M
50 Day MA
72.861

Jack In Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Jack In's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Jack In. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Jack In can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Jack In. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Jack In's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Jack In.

Jack In Implied Volatility

    
  34.88  
Jack In's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Jack In stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Jack In's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Jack In stock will not fluctuate a lot when Jack In's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Jack In. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Jack In to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Jack In because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Jack In after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 74.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Jack In contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Jack In will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.18% per day over the life of the 2023-02-17 option contract. With Jack In trading at USD74.86, that is roughly USD1.63. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Jack In's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Jack In options at the current volatility level of 34.88%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jack In's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Jack In in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
67.3795.4198.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
69.7872.7475.70
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
90.00114.93140.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
67.0572.2777.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jack In. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jack In's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jack In's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Jack In.

Jack In After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Jack In at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jack In or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jack In, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Jack In Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Jack In's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jack In's historical news coverage. Jack In's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 71.69 and 77.61, respectively. We have considered Jack In's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 74.86
74.65
After-hype Price
77.61
Upside
Jack In is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jack In is based on 3 months time horizon.

Jack In Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Jack In is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jack In backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jack In, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.22  2.96   0.21   0.52  11 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
74.8674.650.28 
308.33  

Jack In Hype Timeline

Jack In is currently traded for 74.86. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.21 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.52. Jack In is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 74.65. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.28% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Jack In is about 126.29% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 75.38. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.74. Jack In recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.45. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of December 2022. The firm had 2:1 split on the 16th of October 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Please see Jack In Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Jack In Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Jack In's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jack In's future price movements. Getting to know how Jack In rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jack In may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Jack In Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Jack In price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jack In using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jack In charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Jack In Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Jack In stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Jack In, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Jack In based on analysis of Jack In hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Jack In's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Jack In's related companies.
 2022 2023 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.890.91
Interest Coverage4.725.87

Story Coverage note for Jack In

The number of cover stories for Jack In depends on current market conditions and Jack In's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jack In is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jack In's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Jack In Short Properties

Jack In's future price predictability will typically decrease when Jack In's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Jack In often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Jack In's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jack In's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments108.9 M
Please see Jack In Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Jack In information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Jack In's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

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When running Jack In price analysis, check to measure Jack In's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jack In is operating at the current time. Most of Jack In's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jack In's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jack In's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jack In to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Jack In's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jack In. If investors know Jack In will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jack In listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.203
Market Capitalization
1.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.446
Return On Assets
0.0644
The market value of Jack In is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jack In that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jack In's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jack In's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jack In's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jack In's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jack In's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Jack In value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jack In's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.