Jaguar Animal Health Stock Price Prediction
| JAGX Stock | USD 0.12 0.03 32.89% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Jaguar Animal Health stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Jaguar Animal shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Jaguar Animal's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Jaguar Animal and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Jaguar Animal's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Jaguar Animal Health, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Jaguar Animal's stock price prediction:Wall Street Target Price 6 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.29) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Jaguar Animal based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Jaguar stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Jaguar Animal over a specific investment horizon. Using Jaguar Animal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jaguar Animal Health from the perspective of Jaguar Animal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Jaguar Animal. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Jaguar Animal to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Jaguar because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Jaguar Animal after-hype prediction price | USD 0.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Jaguar |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jaguar Animal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Jaguar Animal After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Jaguar Animal at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jaguar Animal or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jaguar Animal, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Jaguar Animal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Jaguar Animal's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jaguar Animal's historical news coverage. Jaguar Animal's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 13.83, respectively. We have considered Jaguar Animal's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Jaguar Animal is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jaguar Animal Health is based on 3 months time horizon.
Jaguar Animal Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jaguar Animal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jaguar Animal backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jaguar Animal, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.25 | 14.31 | 0.01 | 1.58 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.12 | 0.10 | 6.80 |
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Jaguar Animal Hype Timeline
Jaguar Animal Health is currently traded for 0.12. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.58. Jaguar is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.1. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -6.8%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.25%. The volatility of related hype on Jaguar Animal is about 1128.99%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -1.46. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.79. Jaguar Animal Health last dividend was issued on the 7th of June 2019. The entity had 1:75 split on the 23rd of January 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Jaguar Animal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Jaguar Animal Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Jaguar Animal's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jaguar Animal's future price movements. Getting to know how Jaguar Animal's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jaguar Animal may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PETQ | PetIQ Inc | (0.85) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.81 | (4.08) | 13.08 | |
| EBS | Emergent Biosolutions | (0.24) | 6 per month | 5.51 | 0.03 | 12.00 | (9.09) | 95.08 | |
| NBIX | Neurocrine Biosciences | (3.88) | 9 per month | 1.51 | (0.04) | 2.61 | (2.36) | 8.06 | |
| HLN | Haleon plc | (0.1) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.47 | (2.21) | 9.10 |
Jaguar Animal Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Jaguar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jaguar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jaguar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Jaguar Animal Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Jaguar Animal stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Jaguar Animal Health, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Jaguar Animal based on analysis of Jaguar Animal hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Jaguar Animal's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Jaguar Animal's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001205 | 0.001145 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.36 | 0.34 |
Story Coverage note for Jaguar Animal
The number of cover stories for Jaguar Animal depends on current market conditions and Jaguar Animal's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jaguar Animal is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jaguar Animal's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Jaguar Animal Short Properties
Jaguar Animal's future price predictability will typically decrease when Jaguar Animal's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Jaguar Animal Health often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Jaguar Animal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jaguar Animal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.5 M |
Check out Jaguar Animal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Jaguar Animal Health information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Jaguar Animal's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Jaguar Stock analysis
When running Jaguar Animal's price analysis, check to measure Jaguar Animal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jaguar Animal is operating at the current time. Most of Jaguar Animal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jaguar Animal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jaguar Animal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jaguar Animal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Jaguar Animal's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jaguar Animal. If investors know Jaguar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jaguar Animal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.79) | Revenue Per Share 0.423 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.29) | Return On Assets (0.43) | Return On Equity (23.67) |
The market value of Jaguar Animal Health is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jaguar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jaguar Animal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jaguar Animal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jaguar Animal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jaguar Animal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jaguar Animal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jaguar Animal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jaguar Animal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.