51Job Stock Future Price Prediction

JOBS -  USA Stock  

USD 71.78  0.95  1.34%

51Job Inc ADR stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of 51Job Inc shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of 51Job Inc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of 51Job Inc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from 51Job Inc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with 51Job Inc ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please see 51Job Inc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of 51Job Inc based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The 51Job stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on 51Job Inc over a specific investment horizon. Using 51Job Inc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of 51Job Inc ADR from the perspective of 51Job Inc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
51Job Inc Return on Average Assets are relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. 51Job Inc reported last year Return on Average Assets of 0.07. As of 09/26/2021, Return on Average Equity is likely to grow to 0.11, while Current Ratio is likely to drop 3.95.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in 51Job Inc. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in 51Job Inc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying 51Job because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

51Job Inc after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 71.52  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of 51Job Inc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of 51Job Inc in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
65.9667.2378.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
66.8368.0969.36
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
62.0062.0062.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.153.153.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 51Job Inc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 51Job Inc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 51Job Inc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in 51Job Inc ADR.

51Job Inc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of 51Job Inc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in 51Job Inc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of 51Job Inc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

51Job Inc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting 51Job Inc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on 51Job Inc's historical news coverage. 51Job Inc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 70.25 and 72.79, respectively. We have considered 51Job Inc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
71.78
26th of September 2021
71.52
After-hype Price
72.79
Upside
51Job Inc is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of 51Job Inc ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.

51Job Inc Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as 51Job Inc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading 51Job Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with 51Job Inc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.14  1.27  0.26   0.02  7 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
71.7871.520.36 
68.65  

51Job Inc Hype Timeline

51Job Inc ADR is currently traded for 71.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.26 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. 51Job is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 71.52. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is about 68.65%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.36% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on 51Job Inc is about 1002.63% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 71.8. About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.39. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. 51Job Inc ADR had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had a split on the 8th of August 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 7 days.
Please see 51Job Inc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

51Job Inc Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to 51Job Inc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict 51Job Inc's future price movements. Getting to know how 51Job Inc rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how 51Job Inc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

51Job Inc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine 51Job price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for 51Job using various technical indicators. When you analyze 51Job charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About 51Job Inc Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of 51Job Inc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as 51Job Inc ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of 51Job Inc based on analysis of 51Job Inc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to 51Job Inc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to 51Job Inc's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Book Value per Share168.31184.39147.68
Asset Turnover0.30.240.29

Story Coverage note for 51Job Inc

The number of cover stories for 51Job Inc depends on current market conditions and 51Job Inc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that 51Job Inc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about 51Job Inc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

51Job Inc Short Properties

51Job Inc's future price predictability will typically decrease when 51Job Inc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of 51Job Inc ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential 51Job Inc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 51Job Inc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.08%
Float Shares33.28M
Shares Short Prior Month2.79M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day218.16k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month465.19k
Date Short Interest13th of August 2021
Please see 51Job Inc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the 51Job Inc ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other 51Job Inc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

Complementary Tools for 51Job Stock analysis

When running 51Job Inc ADR price analysis, check to measure 51Job Inc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 51Job Inc is operating at the current time. Most of 51Job Inc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 51Job Inc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 51Job Inc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 51Job Inc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of 51Job Inc ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of 51Job that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of 51Job Inc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is 51Job Inc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because 51Job Inc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect 51Job Inc ADR underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between 51Job Inc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine 51Job Inc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 51Job Inc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.