Jerash Stock Future Price Prediction

JRSH
 Stock
  

USD 4.81  0.01  0.21%   

Jerash Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Jerash Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Jerash Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Jerash Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Jerash Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Jerash Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please see Jerash Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Jerash Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Jerash stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Jerash Holdings over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
14.61
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.75
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.84
Wall Street Target Price
9.67
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.07
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.78
Using Jerash Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jerash Holdings from the perspective of Jerash Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Jerash Holdings Debt to Equity Ratio is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Debt to Equity Ratio was reported at 0.26. The current EBITDA Margin is estimated to increase to 0.09, while Book Value per Share is projected to decrease to 5.35.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Jerash Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Jerash Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Jerash because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Jerash Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 4.76  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jerash Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Jerash Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1.546.2911.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.094.419.17
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
11.0011.0011.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.670.670.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jerash Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jerash Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jerash Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Jerash Holdings.

Jerash Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Jerash Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jerash Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Jerash Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Jerash Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Jerash Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jerash Holdings' historical news coverage. Jerash Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 9.51, respectively. We have considered Jerash Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 4.81
4.76
After-hype Price
9.51
Upside
Jerash Holdings is moderately volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jerash Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Jerash Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Jerash Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jerash Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jerash Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.34  4.75   0.05    0.13  5 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.814.761.04 
3,167  

Jerash Holdings Hype Timeline

Jerash Holdings is currently traded for 4.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.13. Jerash is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 4.76. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -1.04% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Jerash Holdings is about 1217.95% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 4.68. About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.95. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Jerash Holdings next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 14th of February 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projectedpress releasewill be in about 5 days.
Please see Jerash Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Jerash Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Jerash Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jerash Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Jerash Holdings rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jerash Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
INTCIntel Corp(1.63) 9 per month 0.00 (0.13)  3.14 (3.64)  10.50 
DISWalt Disney(1.48) 10 per month 0.00 (0.18)  3.29 (3.78)  8.79 
JNJJohnson Johnson(0.91) 11 per month 1.06  0.15  2.23 (1.86)  5.89 
TRVThe Travelers Companies 0.77 10 per month 0.00 (0.0024)  1.69 (2.17)  6.41 
BACBank Of America 0.16 3 per month 0.00 (0.14)  3.38 (3.49)  9.79 
GEGeneral Electric 0.57 10 per month 0.00 (0.16)  2.88 (4.93)  13.22 
TATT Inc 0.18 9 per month 1.38  0.24  2.99 (2.47)  12.17 
MRKMerck Company(1.27) 11 per month 0.95  0.28  2.16 (1.65)  7.61 
CVXChevron Corp 0.1 8 per month 0.00 (0.0041)  3.06 (4.60)  10.25 

Jerash Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Jerash price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jerash using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jerash charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Jerash Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Jerash Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Jerash Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Jerash Holdings based on analysis of Jerash Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Jerash Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Jerash Holdings's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Book Value per Share4.814.985.735.35
Asset Turnover1.441.281.151.23

Story Coverage note for Jerash Holdings

The number of cover stories for Jerash Holdings depends on current market conditions and Jerash Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jerash Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jerash Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Jerash Holdings Short Properties

Jerash Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Jerash Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Jerash Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Jerash Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jerash Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.06%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.20
Short Percent Of Float0.18%
Float Shares5.5M
Shares Short Prior Month6.74k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day31.21k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month24.72k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.87%
Please see Jerash Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Jerash Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Jerash Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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When running Jerash Holdings price analysis, check to measure Jerash Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jerash Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Jerash Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jerash Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jerash Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jerash Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Jerash Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jerash Holdings. If investors know Jerash will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jerash Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
14.61
Market Capitalization
59.2 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.78
Return On Assets
0.0917
Return On Equity
0.14
The market value of Jerash Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jerash that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jerash Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jerash Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jerash Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jerash Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jerash Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Jerash Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jerash Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.