Kimball Stock Future Price Prediction

KBAL Stock  USD 7.46  0.30  3.87%   
Kimball International stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Kimball International shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Kimball International's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Kimball International and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Kimball International's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kimball International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please see Kimball International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Kimball International based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Kimball stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Kimball International over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.41) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.12
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.6
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.8
Wall Street Target Price
12.5
Using Kimball International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kimball International from the perspective of Kimball International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kimball International using Kimball International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kimball using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kimball International's stock price.
Kimball International Revenue to Assets are relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Revenue to Assets is estimated at 1.97. Total Assets Per Share is expected to hike to 14.77 this year, although the value of PPandE Turnover will most likely fall to 6.24.

Kimball International Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Kimball International's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Kimball. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Kimball International stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Kimball International may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Kimball International and may potentially protect profits, hedge Kimball International with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
7.513
Short Percent
0.0139
Short Ratio
2.88
Shares Short Prior Month
360.8 K
50 Day MA
6.9038

Kimball International Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Kimball International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Kimball. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kimball can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kimball International. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kimball International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kimball International.

Kimball International Implied Volatility

    
  33.32  
Kimball International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kimball International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kimball International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kimball International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kimball International's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Kimball International. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kimball International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kimball because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Kimball International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 7.47  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kimball International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Kimball International in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
6.719.7811.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
5.457.629.79
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
17.0017.0017.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.277.537.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kimball International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kimball International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kimball International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Kimball International.

Kimball International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kimball International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kimball International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kimball International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Kimball International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kimball International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kimball International's historical news coverage. Kimball International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.30 and 9.64, respectively. We have considered Kimball International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 7.46
7.47
After-hype Price
9.64
Upside
Kimball International is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kimball International is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kimball International Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Kimball International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kimball International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kimball International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.07  2.17  0.01   0.01  5 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.467.470.13 
1,356  

Kimball International Hype Timeline

Kimball International is now traded for 7.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Kimball is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 7.47 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price surge on the next news is forecasted to be 0.13% whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Kimball International is about 1972.73% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 7.47. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 665.88 M. Net Loss for the year was (15.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 210.02 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days.
Please see Kimball International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Kimball International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kimball International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kimball International's future price movements. Getting to know how Kimball International rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kimball International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NLNL Industries 0.12 8 per month 0.00 (0.14)  4.51 (4.39)  10.58 
MGRCMcGrath RentCorp 0.88 8 per month 1.14  0.0292  2.47 (2.22)  5.52 
QUADQuad Graphics 0.30 8 per month 2.65  0.18  7.32 (5.71)  24.39 
VSECVSE Corporation(0.31) 5 per month 1.63  0.10  3.63 (2.85)  10.00 
ICPBFInscape 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.0312  0.00 (17.23)  213.23 
INOHIn Ovations Hldgs 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  0.00  0.00  150.00 
INTOInitio Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  0.00  165.27 
IRNSIronstone Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ITEXITEX Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.0186  0.00  0.00  6.93 

Kimball International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kimball price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kimball using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kimball charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Kimball International Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Kimball International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kimball International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kimball International based on analysis of Kimball International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kimball International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kimball International's related companies.
 2020 2021 2022 2023 (projected)
Receivables Turnover8.969.658.688.54
PPandE Turnover6.237.16.396.24

Story Coverage note for Kimball International

The number of cover stories for Kimball International depends on current market conditions and Kimball International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kimball International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kimball International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Kimball International Short Properties

Kimball International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kimball International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kimball International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kimball International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kimball International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding37.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments10.9 M
Please see Kimball International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Kimball International information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Kimball International's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

Complementary Tools for Kimball Stock analysis

When running Kimball International price analysis, check to measure Kimball International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kimball International is operating at the current time. Most of Kimball International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kimball International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kimball International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kimball International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Focused Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Bond Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Is Kimball International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kimball International. If investors know Kimball will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kimball International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.41) 
Market Capitalization
272.8 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.135
Return On Assets
0.0201
Return On Equity
(0.0184) 
The market value of Kimball International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kimball that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kimball International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kimball International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kimball International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kimball International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kimball International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Kimball International value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kimball International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.