Kyndryl Stock Price Prediction
| KD Stock | USD 15.10 0.06 0.40% |
Kyndryl Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Kyndryl Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Kyndryl Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Kyndryl Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Kyndryl Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kyndryl Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.90) | EPS Estimate Current Year (3.71) | EPS Estimate Next Year (3.02) | Wall Street Target Price 18.75 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.91) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Kyndryl Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Kyndryl stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Kyndryl Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Using Kyndryl Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kyndryl Holdings from the perspective of Kyndryl Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kyndryl Holdings using Kyndryl Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kyndryl using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kyndryl Holdings' stock price.
Kyndryl Holdings Implied Volatility | 42.65 |
Kyndryl Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kyndryl Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kyndryl Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kyndryl Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kyndryl Holdings' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Kyndryl Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kyndryl Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kyndryl because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kyndryl Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 14.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kyndryl contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kyndryl Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.67% per day over the life of the 2023-10-20 option contract. With Kyndryl Holdings trading at USD15.1, that is roughly USD0.4. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kyndryl Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kyndryl Holdings options at the current volatility level of 42.65%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Kyndryl |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kyndryl Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Kyndryl Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Kyndryl Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kyndryl Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kyndryl Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kyndryl Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kyndryl Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kyndryl Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kyndryl Holdings' historical news coverage. Kyndryl Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.61 and 18.35, respectively. We have considered Kyndryl Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kyndryl Holdings is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kyndryl Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kyndryl Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Kyndryl Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kyndryl Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kyndryl Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
| 0.26 | 3.37 | 0.12 | 0.05 | 11 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
| 15.10 | 14.98 | 0.79 |
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Kyndryl Holdings Hype Timeline
As of September 30, 2023 Kyndryl Holdings is listed for 15.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Kyndryl is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 14.98. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next newsis expected to be -0.79% whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Kyndryl Holdings is about 1773.68% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 15.05. About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.45. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kyndryl Holdings recorded a loss per share of 5.74. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Kyndryl Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Kyndryl Stock refer to our How to Trade Kyndryl Stock guide.Kyndryl Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kyndryl Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kyndryl Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Kyndryl Holdings rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kyndryl Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WB | Weibo Corp | (0.86) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.0189) | 5.27 | (4.31) | 16.47 | |
| WAB | Westinghouse Air Brake | 0.11 | 11 per month | 1.06 | 0.04 | 1.55 | (1.58) | 7.41 | |
| WIMI | WiMi Hologram Cloud | 0.02 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 8.11 | (6.78) | 17.11 | |
| FUN | Cedar Fair LP | (0.44) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.26 | (2.86) | 13.08 | |
| ZDGE | Zedge Inc | 0.03 | 1 per month | 2.45 | 0.0292 | 5.73 | (3.70) | 15.18 | |
| FNNNF | Finnair Oyj | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.0121 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.94 | |
| ALK | Alaska Air Group | (0.19) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 1.89 | (2.95) | 13.01 |
Kyndryl Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kyndryl price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kyndryl using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kyndryl charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Kyndryl Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kyndryl Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kyndryl Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kyndryl Holdings based on analysis of Kyndryl Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kyndryl Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kyndryl Holdings's related companies. | 2020 | 2021 | 2023 (projected) | Book Value per Share | 21.75 | 12.34 | 9.66 | Asset Turnover | 1.69 | 1.53 | 1.56 |
Story Coverage note for Kyndryl Holdings
The number of cover stories for Kyndryl Holdings depends on current market conditions and Kyndryl Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kyndryl Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kyndryl Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kyndryl Holdings Short Properties
Kyndryl Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Kyndryl Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kyndryl Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kyndryl Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kyndryl Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 226.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 B |
Check out Kyndryl Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Kyndryl Stock refer to our How to Trade Kyndryl Stock guide. Note that the Kyndryl Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Kyndryl Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Kyndryl Stock analysis
When running Kyndryl Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Kyndryl Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kyndryl Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Kyndryl Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kyndryl Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kyndryl Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kyndryl Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Kyndryl Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kyndryl Holdings. If investors know Kyndryl will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kyndryl Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (5.74) | Revenue Per Share 74.471 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.022) | Return On Assets (0.0225) | Return On Equity (0.71) |
The market value of Kyndryl Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kyndryl that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kyndryl Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kyndryl Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kyndryl Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kyndryl Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kyndryl Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kyndryl Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kyndryl Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.